Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services

The aim of this study was to test the effectiveness of an econometric model with dichotomous (binary) explanatory variables in the approximation and prediction of different kinds of cyclicality (annual, monthly, weekly, and daily) of demand for telephone services. The analyses were conducted with th...

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Main Author: Paweł Kaczmarczyk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu 2021-01-01
Series:Ekonometria
Online Access:https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/eada/article/view/945
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author Paweł Kaczmarczyk
author_facet Paweł Kaczmarczyk
author_sort Paweł Kaczmarczyk
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this study was to test the effectiveness of an econometric model with dichotomous (binary) explanatory variables in the approximation and prediction of different kinds of cyclicality (annual, monthly, weekly, and daily) of demand for telephone services. The analyses were conducted with the use of data provided by the selected telecommunication network operator. The data included hourly combined demand for specified telephone services (in seconds) of outgoing calls within the framework of the particular subscriber group (business or individual), the given day, the particular month, and the specific category of connection. All kinds of the cyclicality were confirmed in models with 70 explanatory variables (i.e. in models without holidays). The inclusion of the variables set denoting specific holidays improved goodness of the models fit to the data. The econometric modelling of cyclical components and the forecasting of it with the use of dichotomous variables was effective.(original abstract)
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id doaj-art-36e6ee5ffc364a95bf92e581539e260f
institution OA Journals
issn 2449-9994
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
record_format Article
series Ekonometria
spelling doaj-art-36e6ee5ffc364a95bf92e581539e260f2025-08-20T02:16:39ZengWydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we WrocławiuEkonometria2449-99942021-01-01nr 2946Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication ServicesPaweł Kaczmarczyk0The Mazovian State University in Płock, PolandThe aim of this study was to test the effectiveness of an econometric model with dichotomous (binary) explanatory variables in the approximation and prediction of different kinds of cyclicality (annual, monthly, weekly, and daily) of demand for telephone services. The analyses were conducted with the use of data provided by the selected telecommunication network operator. The data included hourly combined demand for specified telephone services (in seconds) of outgoing calls within the framework of the particular subscriber group (business or individual), the given day, the particular month, and the specific category of connection. All kinds of the cyclicality were confirmed in models with 70 explanatory variables (i.e. in models without holidays). The inclusion of the variables set denoting specific holidays improved goodness of the models fit to the data. The econometric modelling of cyclical components and the forecasting of it with the use of dichotomous variables was effective.(original abstract)https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/eada/article/view/945
spellingShingle Paweł Kaczmarczyk
Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
Ekonometria
title Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
title_full Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
title_fullStr Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
title_full_unstemmed Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
title_short Econometric Modelling of Compound Cyclicality of Using Telecommunication Services
title_sort econometric modelling of compound cyclicality of using telecommunication services
url https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/eada/article/view/945
work_keys_str_mv AT pawełkaczmarczyk econometricmodellingofcompoundcyclicalityofusingtelecommunicationservices