Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes

Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of inflammatory and nutritional indices for adverse cardiovascular events (ACE) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using a machine learning (ML) algorithm. Method...

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Main Authors: Liu Yang, Li Du, Yuanyuan Ge, Muhui Ou, Wanyan Huang, Xianmei Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-04480-7
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author Liu Yang
Li Du
Yuanyuan Ge
Muhui Ou
Wanyan Huang
Xianmei Wang
author_facet Liu Yang
Li Du
Yuanyuan Ge
Muhui Ou
Wanyan Huang
Xianmei Wang
author_sort Liu Yang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of inflammatory and nutritional indices for adverse cardiovascular events (ACE) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using a machine learning (ML) algorithm. Methods AMI patients who underwent PCI were recruited and randomly divided into non/ACE groups. Inflammatory and nutritional indices were graded according to the laboratory examination reports. Logistic Regression was used to screen for factors that were significant for ML model establishment. The performances of the algorithms were evaluated in terms of accuracy, kappa, F1, receiver operating characteristic, precision recall curve, etc. Results Age, LVEF%, Killip Grade, heart rate, creatinine, albumin, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were significantly correlated with ACE by Logistic regression analysis (P < 0.05). These nine factors were employed to establish stepwise regression (SR), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), decision trees (DT), and artificial neutron network (ANN), whose performances were evaluated in terms of accuracy, kappa, F1, receiver operating characteristic, precision recall curve, etc. The accuracy of the decision tree was greater than that of other trees. The area under the curves was the highest in the ANN model compared with the other models. Conclusion ANN predictive performance had an advantage over other ML algorithms based on age, LVEF%, Killip Grade, heart rate, creatinine, albumin, NLR, PLR, and PNI.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1471-2261
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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series BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
spelling doaj-art-36c417db2404490b8065948225651b0d2025-01-26T12:14:15ZengBMCBMC Cardiovascular Disorders1471-22612025-01-0125111110.1186/s12872-025-04480-7Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexesLiu Yang0Li Du1Yuanyuan Ge2Muhui Ou3Wanyan Huang4Xianmei Wang5Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, Kunming Medical UniversityDepartment of Cardiology, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, People’s Liberation Army of China (PLA)Department of Cardiology, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, People’s Liberation Army of China (PLA)Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, Kunming Medical UniversityDepartment of Cardiology, The Affiliated 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, Kunming Medical UniversityDepartment of Cardiology, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, People’s Liberation Army of China (PLA)Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of inflammatory and nutritional indices for adverse cardiovascular events (ACE) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using a machine learning (ML) algorithm. Methods AMI patients who underwent PCI were recruited and randomly divided into non/ACE groups. Inflammatory and nutritional indices were graded according to the laboratory examination reports. Logistic Regression was used to screen for factors that were significant for ML model establishment. The performances of the algorithms were evaluated in terms of accuracy, kappa, F1, receiver operating characteristic, precision recall curve, etc. Results Age, LVEF%, Killip Grade, heart rate, creatinine, albumin, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were significantly correlated with ACE by Logistic regression analysis (P < 0.05). These nine factors were employed to establish stepwise regression (SR), random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), decision trees (DT), and artificial neutron network (ANN), whose performances were evaluated in terms of accuracy, kappa, F1, receiver operating characteristic, precision recall curve, etc. The accuracy of the decision tree was greater than that of other trees. The area under the curves was the highest in the ANN model compared with the other models. Conclusion ANN predictive performance had an advantage over other ML algorithms based on age, LVEF%, Killip Grade, heart rate, creatinine, albumin, NLR, PLR, and PNI.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-04480-7Acute myocardial infarctionInflammatory indexNutritional statusMajor adverse cardiovascular event
spellingShingle Liu Yang
Li Du
Yuanyuan Ge
Muhui Ou
Wanyan Huang
Xianmei Wang
Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
Acute myocardial infarction
Inflammatory index
Nutritional status
Major adverse cardiovascular event
title Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
title_full Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
title_fullStr Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
title_full_unstemmed Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
title_short Prognosis modelling of adverse events for post-PCI treated AMI patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
title_sort prognosis modelling of adverse events for post pci treated ami patients based on inflammation and nutrition indexes
topic Acute myocardial infarction
Inflammatory index
Nutritional status
Major adverse cardiovascular event
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-04480-7
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