Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria

Extreme value of vehicle load plays an important role in bridge design and risk assessment. Peaks over threshold (POT) is a method commonly used in extreme load estimation. The selection of thresholds for the POT method is extremely crucial, but the selected optimal threshold varies under different...

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Main Authors: Guangrun Wu, Wenliang Qiu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Shock and Vibration
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4654659
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author Guangrun Wu
Wenliang Qiu
author_facet Guangrun Wu
Wenliang Qiu
author_sort Guangrun Wu
collection DOAJ
description Extreme value of vehicle load plays an important role in bridge design and risk assessment. Peaks over threshold (POT) is a method commonly used in extreme load estimation. The selection of thresholds for the POT method is extremely crucial, but the selected optimal threshold varies under different test criteria. Therefore, a method to select the suitable threshold is developed based on multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in the paper. In MCDA, Chi-Square (χ2) test, Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) test, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in probability distribution functions (PDF) are employed as the test criteria and the weight of these criteria is calculated using the entropy method. Finally, vehicle loads obtained from simulation and field measurement are adopted to validate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method. The results indicate that the proposed MCDA is a useful and complementary tool for threshold selection in the extreme value analysis.
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spelling doaj-art-366a6e620a50493c9a8dd2bd85da36382025-08-20T02:08:15ZengWileyShock and Vibration1070-96221875-92032018-01-01201810.1155/2018/46546594654659Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple CriteriaGuangrun Wu0Wenliang Qiu1School of Civil Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, ChinaExtreme value of vehicle load plays an important role in bridge design and risk assessment. Peaks over threshold (POT) is a method commonly used in extreme load estimation. The selection of thresholds for the POT method is extremely crucial, but the selected optimal threshold varies under different test criteria. Therefore, a method to select the suitable threshold is developed based on multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in the paper. In MCDA, Chi-Square (χ2) test, Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) test, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in probability distribution functions (PDF) are employed as the test criteria and the weight of these criteria is calculated using the entropy method. Finally, vehicle loads obtained from simulation and field measurement are adopted to validate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method. The results indicate that the proposed MCDA is a useful and complementary tool for threshold selection in the extreme value analysis.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4654659
spellingShingle Guangrun Wu
Wenliang Qiu
Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
Shock and Vibration
title Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
title_full Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
title_fullStr Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
title_full_unstemmed Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
title_short Threshold Selection for POT Framework in the Extreme Vehicle Loads Analysis Based on Multiple Criteria
title_sort threshold selection for pot framework in the extreme vehicle loads analysis based on multiple criteria
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4654659
work_keys_str_mv AT guangrunwu thresholdselectionforpotframeworkintheextremevehicleloadsanalysisbasedonmultiplecriteria
AT wenliangqiu thresholdselectionforpotframeworkintheextremevehicleloadsanalysisbasedonmultiplecriteria