An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures

This paper proposes an integrated, conceptual framework that forest managers can use to simulate the multiple objectives/indicators of sustainability for different spatial patterns of forest management practices under alternative futures, rank feasible (affordable) treatment patterns for forested ar...

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Main Authors: Tony Prato, Travis B. Paveglio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:International Journal of Forestry Research
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/321345
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author Tony Prato
Travis B. Paveglio
author_facet Tony Prato
Travis B. Paveglio
author_sort Tony Prato
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes an integrated, conceptual framework that forest managers can use to simulate the multiple objectives/indicators of sustainability for different spatial patterns of forest management practices under alternative futures, rank feasible (affordable) treatment patterns for forested areas, and determine if and when it is advantageous to adapt or change the spatial pattern over time for each alternative future. The latter is defined in terms of three drivers: economic growth; land use policy; and climate change. Four forest management objectives are used to demonstrate the framework, minimizing wildfire risk and water pollution and maximizing expected net return from timber sales and the extent of potential wildlife habitat. The fuzzy technique for preference by similarity to the ideal solution is used to rank the feasible spatial patterns for each subperiod in a planning horizon and alternative future. The resulting rankings for subperiods are used in a passive adaptive management procedure to determine if and when it is advantageous to adapt the spatial pattern over subperiods. One of the objectives proposed for the conceptual framework is simulated for the period 2010–2059, namely, wildfire risk, as measured by expected residential losses from wildfire in the wildland-urban interface for Flathead County, Montana.
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spelling doaj-art-361d2afc833445459a9f17631e5d893b2025-08-20T03:55:07ZengWileyInternational Journal of Forestry Research1687-93681687-93762014-01-01201410.1155/2014/321345321345An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative FuturesTony Prato0Travis B. Paveglio1Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO 65211, USADepartment of Conservation Social Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USAThis paper proposes an integrated, conceptual framework that forest managers can use to simulate the multiple objectives/indicators of sustainability for different spatial patterns of forest management practices under alternative futures, rank feasible (affordable) treatment patterns for forested areas, and determine if and when it is advantageous to adapt or change the spatial pattern over time for each alternative future. The latter is defined in terms of three drivers: economic growth; land use policy; and climate change. Four forest management objectives are used to demonstrate the framework, minimizing wildfire risk and water pollution and maximizing expected net return from timber sales and the extent of potential wildlife habitat. The fuzzy technique for preference by similarity to the ideal solution is used to rank the feasible spatial patterns for each subperiod in a planning horizon and alternative future. The resulting rankings for subperiods are used in a passive adaptive management procedure to determine if and when it is advantageous to adapt the spatial pattern over subperiods. One of the objectives proposed for the conceptual framework is simulated for the period 2010–2059, namely, wildfire risk, as measured by expected residential losses from wildfire in the wildland-urban interface for Flathead County, Montana.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/321345
spellingShingle Tony Prato
Travis B. Paveglio
An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
International Journal of Forestry Research
title An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
title_full An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
title_fullStr An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
title_full_unstemmed An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
title_short An Integrated Conceptual Framework for Adapting Forest Management Practices to Alternative Futures
title_sort integrated conceptual framework for adapting forest management practices to alternative futures
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/321345
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