Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)

Introduction In patients with COPD, dual bronchodilator (long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA)/long-acting β2-agonist (LABA)) and triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroid/LAMA/LABA) reduce the risk of exacerbations and lung function decline in the short–mid-term, but their long-term impact is unkno...

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Main Authors: Dave Singh, Diego Fabian Litewka, Joan B. Soriano, Adrian Rendon, Frederico Leon Arrabal Fernandes, Rafael Páramo-Arroyo, Tim Trinidad, Hakan Günen, Sudeep Acharya, Bhumika Aggarwal, Gur Levy, Chris Compton, Abdelkader El Hasnaoui, Peter Daley-Yates
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: European Respiratory Society 2025-04-01
Series:ERJ Open Research
Online Access:http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/11/2/00438-2024.full
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author Dave Singh
Diego Fabian Litewka
Joan B. Soriano
Adrian Rendon
Frederico Leon Arrabal Fernandes
Rafael Páramo-Arroyo
Tim Trinidad
Hakan Günen
Sudeep Acharya
Bhumika Aggarwal
Gur Levy
Chris Compton
Abdelkader El Hasnaoui
Peter Daley-Yates
author_facet Dave Singh
Diego Fabian Litewka
Joan B. Soriano
Adrian Rendon
Frederico Leon Arrabal Fernandes
Rafael Páramo-Arroyo
Tim Trinidad
Hakan Günen
Sudeep Acharya
Bhumika Aggarwal
Gur Levy
Chris Compton
Abdelkader El Hasnaoui
Peter Daley-Yates
author_sort Dave Singh
collection DOAJ
description Introduction In patients with COPD, dual bronchodilator (long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA)/long-acting β2-agonist (LABA)) and triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroid/LAMA/LABA) reduce the risk of exacerbations and lung function decline in the short–mid-term, but their long-term impact is unknown. This modelling study explores long-term impact of these therapies on lung function decline, quality of life (QoL) and all-cause mortality. Methods This modelling approach used a longitudinal nonparametric superposition model using published data regarding exacerbations, QoL (assessed by St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)) and mortality. The model simulated disease progression from 40 to 75 years of age and assessed the impact of initiating dual bronchodilator at age 45 years (“LAMA/LABA only” group) and escalation to triple therapy at age 50 years (“Escalation to triple” group) on forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) decline, QoL and mortality. Results Model simulation predicted that by 75 years of age, “LAMA/LABA only” preserves 159.1 mL of FEV1 versus no treatment, while “Escalation to triple” preserves an additional 376.5 mL and 217.3 mL of FEV1 versus no pharmacotherapy and “LAMA/LABA only”, respectively. In “LAMA/LABA only”, the SGRQ score reduces (−3.2) versus no treatment, which further reduces to −7.5 in “Escalation to triple”. In “LAMA/LABA only”, mortality reduces by 5.4% by 75 years versus no treatment, while the “Escalation to triple” shows further decrease in mortality by 12.0%. Conclusion Early pharmacotherapy initiation and escalation from dual bronchodilator to triple therapy could slow disease progression by preserving lung function and improving QoL and survival in patients with COPD.
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spelling doaj-art-35df4582f8db4266b541b255fd9c25ea2025-08-20T03:52:32ZengEuropean Respiratory SocietyERJ Open Research2312-05412025-04-0111210.1183/23120541.00438-202400438-2024Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)Dave Singh0Diego Fabian Litewka1Joan B. Soriano2Adrian Rendon3Frederico Leon Arrabal Fernandes4Rafael Páramo-Arroyo5Tim Trinidad6Hakan Günen7Sudeep Acharya8Bhumika Aggarwal9Gur Levy10Chris Compton11Abdelkader El Hasnaoui12Peter Daley-Yates13 Division of Immunology, Immunity to Infection and Respiratory Medicine, The University of Manchester and Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK Unidad Neumonologia, Hospital Juan A. Fernandez, Buenos Aires, Argentina Servicio de Neumología, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo Leon, Hospital Universitario “Dr Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez”, CIPTIR, Monterrey, Mexico Disciplina de Pneumologia, Instituto do Coração, Hospital das Clínicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil Universidad Anáhuac Querétaro, Centro de Estudios Clinicos de Querétaro, Querétaro, Mexico University of Santo Tomas, Faculty of Medicine and Surgery, Manila, Philippines Health Sciences University, Süreyyapaşa Research and Training Center for Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery, Istanbul, Turkey Emerging Markets, GlaxoSmithKline, Singapore Emerging Markets, GlaxoSmithKline, Singapore Emerging Markets, GSK, Panama City, Panama GSK, Brentford, UK Emerging Markets, GSK, Dubai, United Arab Emirates Independent Clinical Pharmacology Consultant, London, UK Introduction In patients with COPD, dual bronchodilator (long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA)/long-acting β2-agonist (LABA)) and triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroid/LAMA/LABA) reduce the risk of exacerbations and lung function decline in the short–mid-term, but their long-term impact is unknown. This modelling study explores long-term impact of these therapies on lung function decline, quality of life (QoL) and all-cause mortality. Methods This modelling approach used a longitudinal nonparametric superposition model using published data regarding exacerbations, QoL (assessed by St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)) and mortality. The model simulated disease progression from 40 to 75 years of age and assessed the impact of initiating dual bronchodilator at age 45 years (“LAMA/LABA only” group) and escalation to triple therapy at age 50 years (“Escalation to triple” group) on forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) decline, QoL and mortality. Results Model simulation predicted that by 75 years of age, “LAMA/LABA only” preserves 159.1 mL of FEV1 versus no treatment, while “Escalation to triple” preserves an additional 376.5 mL and 217.3 mL of FEV1 versus no pharmacotherapy and “LAMA/LABA only”, respectively. In “LAMA/LABA only”, the SGRQ score reduces (−3.2) versus no treatment, which further reduces to −7.5 in “Escalation to triple”. In “LAMA/LABA only”, mortality reduces by 5.4% by 75 years versus no treatment, while the “Escalation to triple” shows further decrease in mortality by 12.0%. Conclusion Early pharmacotherapy initiation and escalation from dual bronchodilator to triple therapy could slow disease progression by preserving lung function and improving QoL and survival in patients with COPD.http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/11/2/00438-2024.full
spellingShingle Dave Singh
Diego Fabian Litewka
Joan B. Soriano
Adrian Rendon
Frederico Leon Arrabal Fernandes
Rafael Páramo-Arroyo
Tim Trinidad
Hakan Günen
Sudeep Acharya
Bhumika Aggarwal
Gur Levy
Chris Compton
Abdelkader El Hasnaoui
Peter Daley-Yates
Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
ERJ Open Research
title Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
title_full Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
title_fullStr Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
title_full_unstemmed Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
title_short Delaying disease progression in COPD with early escalation to triple therapy: a modelling study (DEPICT-2)
title_sort delaying disease progression in copd with early escalation to triple therapy a modelling study depict 2
url http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/11/2/00438-2024.full
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