The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks

The article observe the problem in using the econometric approach to the assessment of the total loan risk appearing in portfolio of assorted risk of commercial bank loans. It is proposed to use the linear regression model of dependence between the value of the bank’s own funds (as the most ris-sens...

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Main Authors: M. A. Gorskij, E. A. Zakrevskaya
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Russian Academy of Entrepreneurship 2020-01-01
Series:Путеводитель предпринимателя
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.pp-mag.ru/jour/article/view/38
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author M. A. Gorskij
E. A. Zakrevskaya
author_facet M. A. Gorskij
E. A. Zakrevskaya
author_sort M. A. Gorskij
collection DOAJ
description The article observe the problem in using the econometric approach to the assessment of the total loan risk appearing in portfolio of assorted risk of commercial bank loans. It is proposed to use the linear regression model of dependence between the value of the bank’s own funds (as the most ris-sensitive portfolio characteristic) and the current values of particular indicators of risk K1-K7 (the quantities of reserves and own funds on the previous period of time) in assessing the risk. Different versions of linear regression models are calculated according to the specific loan portfolio of the bank, which allow to asses credit risk for different scenarios of implementation of credit strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-35ac23ebf83a4fcfbffddeaed4666e202025-08-20T02:54:37ZrusRussian Academy of EntrepreneurshipПутеводитель предпринимателя2073-98852687-136X2020-01-0103410512337The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banksM. A. Gorskij0E. A. Zakrevskaya1Plekhanov Russian University of EconomicsPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsThe article observe the problem in using the econometric approach to the assessment of the total loan risk appearing in portfolio of assorted risk of commercial bank loans. It is proposed to use the linear regression model of dependence between the value of the bank’s own funds (as the most ris-sensitive portfolio characteristic) and the current values of particular indicators of risk K1-K7 (the quantities of reserves and own funds on the previous period of time) in assessing the risk. Different versions of linear regression models are calculated according to the specific loan portfolio of the bank, which allow to asses credit risk for different scenarios of implementation of credit strategies.https://www.pp-mag.ru/jour/article/view/38the credit portfolio of commercial bankcredit risk portfoliothe risk ratiosprivate risk criteriaan analytic representation of the total credit risklinear regression modelthe durbin-watson statisticsthe student’s t-test
spellingShingle M. A. Gorskij
E. A. Zakrevskaya
The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
Путеводитель предпринимателя
the credit portfolio of commercial bank
credit risk portfolio
the risk ratios
private risk criteria
an analytic representation of the total credit risk
linear regression model
the durbin-watson statistics
the student’s t-test
title The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
title_full The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
title_fullStr The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
title_full_unstemmed The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
title_short The econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
title_sort econometric model of evaluation and selection of priority strategies of reducing risks of the total loan portfolio of commercial banks
topic the credit portfolio of commercial bank
credit risk portfolio
the risk ratios
private risk criteria
an analytic representation of the total credit risk
linear regression model
the durbin-watson statistics
the student’s t-test
url https://www.pp-mag.ru/jour/article/view/38
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AT eazakrevskaya theeconometricmodelofevaluationandselectionofprioritystrategiesofreducingrisksofthetotalloanportfolioofcommercialbanks
AT magorskij econometricmodelofevaluationandselectionofprioritystrategiesofreducingrisksofthetotalloanportfolioofcommercialbanks
AT eazakrevskaya econometricmodelofevaluationandselectionofprioritystrategiesofreducingrisksofthetotalloanportfolioofcommercialbanks