Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand

Travel demand is commonly predefined as a constant during the planning period in transit service design, but it varies daily with many factors, for example, weather, vacation, and social activity. Under the uncertain demand, the transit system operates in two states, that is, unsaturation and satura...

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Main Authors: Liang Xia, Haibo Li, Yingfei Fan, Xinguo Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1112949
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author Liang Xia
Haibo Li
Yingfei Fan
Xinguo Jiang
author_facet Liang Xia
Haibo Li
Yingfei Fan
Xinguo Jiang
author_sort Liang Xia
collection DOAJ
description Travel demand is commonly predefined as a constant during the planning period in transit service design, but it varies daily with many factors, for example, weather, vacation, and social activity. Under the uncertain demand, the transit system operates in two states, that is, unsaturation and saturation, distinguished by whether or not the capacity of transit vehicle satisfies the possible demand. Thus, we propose a continuum approximation (CA) model for transit service design, including headway and station location, to account for the effects of the stochastic demand via a penalty cost, a service-reliability constraint, and equilibrium. The penalty cost is utilized to describe the saturation state. The service-reliability constraint is applied to ensure the robustness of the transit system. The equilibrium is introduced to allocate the household location where trip demand is generated in a corridor. Furthermore, we build a bilevel framework to find the solutions to the proposed model. In the numerical experiment, the proposed model is applied in the impact analyses of the service-reliability constraint, as well as the sensitivity analyses of the household numbers and value of time. The impact analyses indicate that the transit service design integrated with the effect of housing location choice is necessary under the stochastic demand. The sensitivity analyses show that the number of households and the value of time play a significant role in the performance of transit systems accounting for service reliability. The proposed model and findings serve to improve the design of the transit system under stochastic demand.
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spelling doaj-art-33b9bcffae934456b77d618363e1c5eb2025-02-03T06:05:03ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1112949Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic DemandLiang Xia0Haibo Li1Yingfei Fan2Xinguo Jiang3School of Transportation and LogisticsSchool of Economics & ManagementSchool of Transportation and Logistics EngineeringSchool of Transportation and LogisticsTravel demand is commonly predefined as a constant during the planning period in transit service design, but it varies daily with many factors, for example, weather, vacation, and social activity. Under the uncertain demand, the transit system operates in two states, that is, unsaturation and saturation, distinguished by whether or not the capacity of transit vehicle satisfies the possible demand. Thus, we propose a continuum approximation (CA) model for transit service design, including headway and station location, to account for the effects of the stochastic demand via a penalty cost, a service-reliability constraint, and equilibrium. The penalty cost is utilized to describe the saturation state. The service-reliability constraint is applied to ensure the robustness of the transit system. The equilibrium is introduced to allocate the household location where trip demand is generated in a corridor. Furthermore, we build a bilevel framework to find the solutions to the proposed model. In the numerical experiment, the proposed model is applied in the impact analyses of the service-reliability constraint, as well as the sensitivity analyses of the household numbers and value of time. The impact analyses indicate that the transit service design integrated with the effect of housing location choice is necessary under the stochastic demand. The sensitivity analyses show that the number of households and the value of time play a significant role in the performance of transit systems accounting for service reliability. The proposed model and findings serve to improve the design of the transit system under stochastic demand.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1112949
spellingShingle Liang Xia
Haibo Li
Yingfei Fan
Xinguo Jiang
Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
title_full Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
title_fullStr Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
title_full_unstemmed Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
title_short Continuum Approximation Model for Transit Service Design with Stochastic Demand
title_sort continuum approximation model for transit service design with stochastic demand
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1112949
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AT haiboli continuumapproximationmodelfortransitservicedesignwithstochasticdemand
AT yingfeifan continuumapproximationmodelfortransitservicedesignwithstochasticdemand
AT xinguojiang continuumapproximationmodelfortransitservicedesignwithstochasticdemand