A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization

The link dynamic vehicle count is a spatial variable that measures the traffic state of road sections, which reflects the actual traffic demand. This paper presents a hybrid deep learning method that combines the gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network model with automatic hyperparameter tuning ba...

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Main Authors: Chunguang He, Dianhai Wang, Yi Yu, Zhengyi Cai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5070504
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author Chunguang He
Dianhai Wang
Yi Yu
Zhengyi Cai
author_facet Chunguang He
Dianhai Wang
Yi Yu
Zhengyi Cai
author_sort Chunguang He
collection DOAJ
description The link dynamic vehicle count is a spatial variable that measures the traffic state of road sections, which reflects the actual traffic demand. This paper presents a hybrid deep learning method that combines the gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network model with automatic hyperparameter tuning based on Bayesian optimization (BO) and the improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) model. There are four steps in this hybrid approach. First, the ICEEMDAN is employed to decompose the link dynamic vehicle count time series data into several intrinsic components. Second, the components are predicted by the GRU model. At the same time, the Bayesian optimization method is utilized to automatically optimize the hyperparameters of the GRU model. Finally, the predicted subcomponents are reconstructed to obtain the final prediction results. The proposed hybrid deep learning method is tested on two roads of Hangzhou, China. Results show that, compared with the 12 benchmark models, the proposed hybrid deep learning model achieves the best performance in link dynamic vehicle count forecasting.
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institution DOAJ
issn 2042-3195
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publishDate 2023-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-3370fbcc9345408ba2bc0e699a4817fb2025-08-20T03:18:31ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952023-01-01202310.1155/2023/5070504A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian OptimizationChunguang He0Dianhai Wang1Yi Yu2Zhengyi Cai3College of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureCollege of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureCollege of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureCollege of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureThe link dynamic vehicle count is a spatial variable that measures the traffic state of road sections, which reflects the actual traffic demand. This paper presents a hybrid deep learning method that combines the gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network model with automatic hyperparameter tuning based on Bayesian optimization (BO) and the improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) model. There are four steps in this hybrid approach. First, the ICEEMDAN is employed to decompose the link dynamic vehicle count time series data into several intrinsic components. Second, the components are predicted by the GRU model. At the same time, the Bayesian optimization method is utilized to automatically optimize the hyperparameters of the GRU model. Finally, the predicted subcomponents are reconstructed to obtain the final prediction results. The proposed hybrid deep learning method is tested on two roads of Hangzhou, China. Results show that, compared with the 12 benchmark models, the proposed hybrid deep learning model achieves the best performance in link dynamic vehicle count forecasting.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5070504
spellingShingle Chunguang He
Dianhai Wang
Yi Yu
Zhengyi Cai
A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
title_full A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
title_fullStr A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
title_short A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Link Dynamic Vehicle Count Forecasting with Bayesian Optimization
title_sort hybrid deep learning model for link dynamic vehicle count forecasting with bayesian optimization
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5070504
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