An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty

Abstract The growing integration of wind energy and electric vehicles (EVs) introduces significant uncertainty and operational complexity to modern power systems. To address these challenges, this paper presents a novel and optimized demand response (DR) framework designed to enhance system reliabil...

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Main Authors: Hadi Pakbin, Amin Karimi, Mohammad Naseh Hassanzadeh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05482-3
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author Hadi Pakbin
Amin Karimi
Mohammad Naseh Hassanzadeh
author_facet Hadi Pakbin
Amin Karimi
Mohammad Naseh Hassanzadeh
author_sort Hadi Pakbin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The growing integration of wind energy and electric vehicles (EVs) introduces significant uncertainty and operational complexity to modern power systems. To address these challenges, this paper presents a novel and optimized demand response (DR) framework designed to enhance system reliability while accounting for wind generation variability and the flexible nature of EV loads. The proposed method incorporates a real-time uncertainty model using a statistical mean–standard deviation relationship to dynamically quantify wind power fluctuations. This modeling approach enables the allocation of DR incentives to be adjusted hour-by-hour based on wind volatility, demand elasticity, and EV charging patterns. Additionally, the framework evaluates system reliability through a well-being-based probabilistic assessment, distinguishing between healthy (P(H)), marginal (P(M)), and risk (P(R)) states. The innovation of this study lies in the integration of uncertainty-driven DR optimization with a probabilistic well-being assessment, allowing DR incentives to be adaptively tuned to real-time wind fluctuations—a capability not addressed in existing literature. This approach provides a practical pathway to managing the variability of renewables without over-reliance on costly storage or backup generation. The model is validated on the IEEE RTS-24 bus system under 12 EV penetration and charging scenarios. Results show that the proposed framework improves P(H) from 95.1% (no DR) and 97.2% (non-optimized DR) to 97.44%, reduces unsupplied energy from 52,230 to 51,900 MWh, and lowers DR incentive costs by 5.6%. These findings demonstrate the framework’s capability to enhance cost-efficiency and system resilience in renewable-rich, EV-integrated power grids.
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spelling doaj-art-334cb844e6d34e359b38f076f7d88e152025-08-20T03:38:12ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111910.1038/s41598-025-05482-3An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertaintyHadi Pakbin0Amin Karimi1Mohammad Naseh Hassanzadeh2Department of Electrical Engineering, Islamic Azad UniversityDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Islamic Azad UniversityDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Islamic Azad UniversityAbstract The growing integration of wind energy and electric vehicles (EVs) introduces significant uncertainty and operational complexity to modern power systems. To address these challenges, this paper presents a novel and optimized demand response (DR) framework designed to enhance system reliability while accounting for wind generation variability and the flexible nature of EV loads. The proposed method incorporates a real-time uncertainty model using a statistical mean–standard deviation relationship to dynamically quantify wind power fluctuations. This modeling approach enables the allocation of DR incentives to be adjusted hour-by-hour based on wind volatility, demand elasticity, and EV charging patterns. Additionally, the framework evaluates system reliability through a well-being-based probabilistic assessment, distinguishing between healthy (P(H)), marginal (P(M)), and risk (P(R)) states. The innovation of this study lies in the integration of uncertainty-driven DR optimization with a probabilistic well-being assessment, allowing DR incentives to be adaptively tuned to real-time wind fluctuations—a capability not addressed in existing literature. This approach provides a practical pathway to managing the variability of renewables without over-reliance on costly storage or backup generation. The model is validated on the IEEE RTS-24 bus system under 12 EV penetration and charging scenarios. Results show that the proposed framework improves P(H) from 95.1% (no DR) and 97.2% (non-optimized DR) to 97.44%, reduces unsupplied energy from 52,230 to 51,900 MWh, and lowers DR incentive costs by 5.6%. These findings demonstrate the framework’s capability to enhance cost-efficiency and system resilience in renewable-rich, EV-integrated power grids.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05482-3Demand responsePower system well-beingWind energyUncertaintyGeneration fluctuation
spellingShingle Hadi Pakbin
Amin Karimi
Mohammad Naseh Hassanzadeh
An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
Scientific Reports
Demand response
Power system well-being
Wind energy
Uncertainty
Generation fluctuation
title An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
title_full An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
title_fullStr An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
title_short An optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and EV-induced uncertainty
title_sort optimized demand response framework for enhancing power system reliability under wind power and ev induced uncertainty
topic Demand response
Power system well-being
Wind energy
Uncertainty
Generation fluctuation
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05482-3
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