Assessment of economic burden of lumpy skin disease in India using stochastic modeling

Assessment of economic burden of lumpy skin disease in India using stochastic modeling

Abstract This study assessed the farm-level economic loss due to LSD in India and at disaggregate (state) level by collecting data from 2351 cattle farms covering seven states. Data were analyed using descriptive statistics and stochastic modeling with Monte Carlo simulations. Gujarat state reported...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Govindaraj Gurrappa Naidu, Ramanji Rampura Shivappa, Puneeth Raja Rajanna, Huchappa Gondali, Manoj Hesaraghatta Devaraju, Prem Kishor Singasandra Nagesh, Narayanan Gajendiran, Amit Kanani, Lenin Bhatt, Jayant Tapase, Sundaresan Arumugam, Jyoti Ranjan Biswal, Sathish Gowda Chirathahalli Shivamurthy, Gundallhalli Bayyappa Manjunathareddy, Durlav Prasad Bora, Bijoy Chhetri, Yogisharadhya Revanaiah, Sagar Shyam Pujar, Baldev Raj Gulati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
LSD
Economic burden
Stochastic modelling
India
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-94383-6
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Abstract This study assessed the farm-level economic loss due to LSD in India and at disaggregate (state) level by collecting data from 2351 cattle farms covering seven states. Data were analyed using descriptive statistics and stochastic modeling with Monte Carlo simulations. Gujarat state reported the highest milk loss, with a median reduction of 74, 90, 60, 45, 15, 15, and 8 L per animal in Rajasthan, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Assam, and Odisha, respectively. Crossbred cattle experienced more milk loss per animal, ranging from USD 0.0 to 237.8. The median mortality loss per animal varied between USD 12.2 and 1,084. The substantial national loss was due to decreased milk production, followed by the loss of draught power, treatment cost, and vector management cost. Stochastic modelling estimated economic loss due to LSD in cattle in India was USD 2440.29 million (90% CI 2162.55–2716.15) / (INR 202,544.07 million (90% 179,491.65—2,225,440.45) during 2022 & 2023 with a highest loss of USD 314.18 million (90% CI 279.10–349.34)) in Rajasthan state.
ISSN:2045-2322

Similar Items