Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework

Abstract Public health events (PHEs) have emerged as significant threats to human life, health, and economic growth. PHEs, such as COVID-19, have prompted a reevaluation for enhanced regular prevention and control (RPC). In this study, we focus on the core concept of prevention and control intensity...

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Main Authors: Yunhao Wang, Yixuan Liu, Zhihan Peng, Zhaoyang Shang, Wei Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-06-01
Series:BMC Public Health
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-19106-4
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author Yunhao Wang
Yixuan Liu
Zhihan Peng
Zhaoyang Shang
Wei Gao
author_facet Yunhao Wang
Yixuan Liu
Zhihan Peng
Zhaoyang Shang
Wei Gao
author_sort Yunhao Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Public health events (PHEs) have emerged as significant threats to human life, health, and economic growth. PHEs, such as COVID-19, have prompted a reevaluation for enhanced regular prevention and control (RPC). In this study, we focus on the core concept of prevention and control intensity (PCI), and establish a neoclassical economic growth model from the long-term and macro perspective to balance life protection and economic growth. The model construct the mechanism of PCI on economic growth through population dynamics and capital accumulation under the backdrop of RPC for PHEs. We find the conditions for PCI when the economy achieves steady state, and provides an algorithm establishing the optimal strategy that maximises per capita disposable income based on the optimal PCI and consumption. Simulation result quantifies an inverted U-shaped relationship between PCI and capital per capita, output per capita and consumption per capita in the steady state. The model suggests that, given the PHEs of inducing potential unemployment shock, it is worthwhile to combine the implementation of moderate PCI with coordinated policies of income distribution.
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issn 1471-2458
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spelling doaj-art-329e59ebf5854de498a21cfd92771aa62025-08-20T02:49:59ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582024-06-0124112110.1186/s12889-024-19106-4Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical frameworkYunhao Wang0Yixuan Liu1Zhihan Peng2Zhaoyang Shang3Wei Gao4Key Laboratory for Applied Statistics of MOE, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northeast Normal UniversitySchool of Information Science and Technology, Northeast Normal UniversityDepartment of Computer Science, Duke UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Northeast Normal UniversityKey Laboratory for Applied Statistics of MOE, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northeast Normal UniversityAbstract Public health events (PHEs) have emerged as significant threats to human life, health, and economic growth. PHEs, such as COVID-19, have prompted a reevaluation for enhanced regular prevention and control (RPC). In this study, we focus on the core concept of prevention and control intensity (PCI), and establish a neoclassical economic growth model from the long-term and macro perspective to balance life protection and economic growth. The model construct the mechanism of PCI on economic growth through population dynamics and capital accumulation under the backdrop of RPC for PHEs. We find the conditions for PCI when the economy achieves steady state, and provides an algorithm establishing the optimal strategy that maximises per capita disposable income based on the optimal PCI and consumption. Simulation result quantifies an inverted U-shaped relationship between PCI and capital per capita, output per capita and consumption per capita in the steady state. The model suggests that, given the PHEs of inducing potential unemployment shock, it is worthwhile to combine the implementation of moderate PCI with coordinated policies of income distribution.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-19106-4Public health eventEpidemicPrevention and control intensityEconomic growthNeoclassical growth model
spellingShingle Yunhao Wang
Yixuan Liu
Zhihan Peng
Zhaoyang Shang
Wei Gao
Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
BMC Public Health
Public health event
Epidemic
Prevention and control intensity
Economic growth
Neoclassical growth model
title Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
title_full Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
title_fullStr Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
title_full_unstemmed Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
title_short Public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
title_sort public health events and economic growth in a neoclassical framework
topic Public health event
Epidemic
Prevention and control intensity
Economic growth
Neoclassical growth model
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-19106-4
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