Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China

Assessing the spatiotemporal evolution of landscape ecological risk (LER) in watersheds and its driving factors is crucial for ecosystem maintenance. This study utilized land use/land cover (LULC) data to establish an LER evaluation model. A transfer matrix, along with global and local Moran’s indic...

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Main Authors: Xinrui Yu, Ping Duan, Jun Chang, Jia Li, Qi Nie, Qingquan Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2489524
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author Xinrui Yu
Ping Duan
Jun Chang
Jia Li
Qi Nie
Qingquan Zhou
author_facet Xinrui Yu
Ping Duan
Jun Chang
Jia Li
Qi Nie
Qingquan Zhou
author_sort Xinrui Yu
collection DOAJ
description Assessing the spatiotemporal evolution of landscape ecological risk (LER) in watersheds and its driving factors is crucial for ecosystem maintenance. This study utilized land use/land cover (LULC) data to establish an LER evaluation model. A transfer matrix, along with global and local Moran’s indices, analyzed LER evolution, while a geographic detector model quantified the driving factors of LER spatial heterogeneity in the Xiaojiang River Basin. Results indicate that LER was higher in central/northern areas and lower in southern areas, with low/sub-low risk areas expanding by 483.27 km2 and medium/high-risk areas decreasing by 684.08 km2, reflecting overall risk reduction. The LER exhibited evident spatial clustering, with “High-High” clusters in middle-lower areas (water body/construction land) and “Low-Low” clusters in southern areas (forest/grass land). The dominant driving factor was the interaction between net primary productivity of vegetation (NPP) and human disturbance (HD). This study provides insights for ecological restoration and ecosystem service enhancement.
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issn 1010-6049
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publishDate 2025-12-01
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record_format Article
series Geocarto International
spelling doaj-art-328e459263df4edb8182bc279a2e9b8f2025-08-20T02:11:34ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622025-12-0140110.1080/10106049.2025.2489524Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, ChinaXinrui Yu0Ping Duan1Jun Chang2Jia Li3Qi Nie4Qingquan Zhou5Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, ChinaFaculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, ChinaThe First Geodetic Surveying Brigade of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Xi’an, ChinaFaculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, ChinaFaculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, ChinaFaculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, ChinaAssessing the spatiotemporal evolution of landscape ecological risk (LER) in watersheds and its driving factors is crucial for ecosystem maintenance. This study utilized land use/land cover (LULC) data to establish an LER evaluation model. A transfer matrix, along with global and local Moran’s indices, analyzed LER evolution, while a geographic detector model quantified the driving factors of LER spatial heterogeneity in the Xiaojiang River Basin. Results indicate that LER was higher in central/northern areas and lower in southern areas, with low/sub-low risk areas expanding by 483.27 km2 and medium/high-risk areas decreasing by 684.08 km2, reflecting overall risk reduction. The LER exhibited evident spatial clustering, with “High-High” clusters in middle-lower areas (water body/construction land) and “Low-Low” clusters in southern areas (forest/grass land). The dominant driving factor was the interaction between net primary productivity of vegetation (NPP) and human disturbance (HD). This study provides insights for ecological restoration and ecosystem service enhancement.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2489524Landscape ecologyspatiotemporal evolutiondriving factorsXiaojiang River Basin
spellingShingle Xinrui Yu
Ping Duan
Jun Chang
Jia Li
Qi Nie
Qingquan Zhou
Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
Geocarto International
Landscape ecology
spatiotemporal evolution
driving factors
Xiaojiang River Basin
title Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
title_full Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
title_fullStr Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
title_short Analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in Xiaojiang River Basin, Yunnan, China
title_sort analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of landscape ecological risk in xiaojiang river basin yunnan china
topic Landscape ecology
spatiotemporal evolution
driving factors
Xiaojiang River Basin
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2489524
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