Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View

This paper focuses on investigating the dynamic cross-correlation relationship between online sentiment and returns of major global stock markets based on the MF-DCCA method. We use Daily Happiness (DHS), an index derived from Twitter posts through textual analysis as a proxy of online sentiment. By...

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Main Authors: Kewei Xu, Yuanyuan Pang, Jiatong Han
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6674379
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author Kewei Xu
Yuanyuan Pang
Jiatong Han
author_facet Kewei Xu
Yuanyuan Pang
Jiatong Han
author_sort Kewei Xu
collection DOAJ
description This paper focuses on investigating the dynamic cross-correlation relationship between online sentiment and returns of major global stock markets based on the MF-DCCA method. We use Daily Happiness (DHS), an index derived from Twitter posts through textual analysis as a proxy of online sentiment. By dividing the global financial markets into developed and developing ones, we are able to test the heterogeneous relationship between stock market performance and sentiment at different economic developing level. Empirical results show that there exists a power-law cross-correlation relationship between financial market and online sentiment in some developed countries and all developing countries, and the relationship is more stable in the developing countries. Moreover, we apply rolling window analysis to capture the dynamic evolution characteristics and find the relationship has a strong consistency over time. Our work provides a much more delicate perspective to test the relationship between online sentiment and financial markets performance and enriches the existing literature.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-32655e8ce4314ab2b26334806473cd062025-02-03T06:05:16ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66743796674379Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global ViewKewei Xu0Yuanyuan Pang1Jiatong Han2College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaCollege of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaSchool of Finance, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300072, ChinaThis paper focuses on investigating the dynamic cross-correlation relationship between online sentiment and returns of major global stock markets based on the MF-DCCA method. We use Daily Happiness (DHS), an index derived from Twitter posts through textual analysis as a proxy of online sentiment. By dividing the global financial markets into developed and developing ones, we are able to test the heterogeneous relationship between stock market performance and sentiment at different economic developing level. Empirical results show that there exists a power-law cross-correlation relationship between financial market and online sentiment in some developed countries and all developing countries, and the relationship is more stable in the developing countries. Moreover, we apply rolling window analysis to capture the dynamic evolution characteristics and find the relationship has a strong consistency over time. Our work provides a much more delicate perspective to test the relationship between online sentiment and financial markets performance and enriches the existing literature.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6674379
spellingShingle Kewei Xu
Yuanyuan Pang
Jiatong Han
Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
title_full Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
title_fullStr Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
title_short Dynamic Cross-Correlation between Online Sentiment and Stock Market Performance: A Global View
title_sort dynamic cross correlation between online sentiment and stock market performance a global view
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6674379
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AT yuanyuanpang dynamiccrosscorrelationbetweenonlinesentimentandstockmarketperformanceaglobalview
AT jiatonghan dynamiccrosscorrelationbetweenonlinesentimentandstockmarketperformanceaglobalview