Leveraging dynamics informed neural networks for predictive modeling of COVID-19 spread: a hybrid SEIRV-DNNs approach

Abstract A dynamics informed neural networks (DINNs) incorporating the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-vaccinated (SEIRV) model was developed to enhance the understanding of the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. This work integrates differential equations with deep neural...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cheng Cheng, Elayaraja Aruchunan, Muhamad Hifzhudin Noor Aziz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-85440-1
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Summary:Abstract A dynamics informed neural networks (DINNs) incorporating the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-vaccinated (SEIRV) model was developed to enhance the understanding of the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. This work integrates differential equations with deep neural networks to predict time-varying parameters in the SEIRV model. Experimental results based on reported data from China between January 1, and December 1, 2022, demonstrate that the proposed dynamics informed neural networks (DINNs) method can accurately learn the dynamics and predict future states. Our proposed hybrid SEIRV-DNNs model can also be applied to other infectious diseases such as influenza and dengue, with some modifications to the compartments and parameters in the model to accommodate the related control measures. This approach will facilitate improving predictive modeling and optimizing public health intervention strategies.
ISSN:2045-2322