THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES

Determinating the tendencies in varying indices of flight safety and taking all the necessary measures to enhance flight safety for small airlines is becoming the complex problem. The article proposes the use of methods of the reproduction (multiplication) of statistical information on the flight sa...

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Main Authors: P. M. Polyakov, M. V. Karmyzov, S. V. Monakhova
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation 2016-12-01
Series:Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
Subjects:
Online Access:https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/889
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author P. M. Polyakov
M. V. Karmyzov
S. V. Monakhova
author_facet P. M. Polyakov
M. V. Karmyzov
S. V. Monakhova
author_sort P. M. Polyakov
collection DOAJ
description Determinating the tendencies in varying indices of flight safety and taking all the necessary measures to enhance flight safety for small airlines is becoming the complex problem. The article proposes the use of methods of the reproduction (multiplication) of statistical information on the flight safety, to determine the acceptable level of flight safety for small airlines via the designation of confidence intervals. A similar approach enables to obtain the artificial random distributions, for example, of the deviations of mean operating time of the flight accident (incident) from the mathematical expectation of this operating time under the conditions of using limited statistical data. On the entry of the controlled index, into one or another interval it is possible to judge the acceptability of the assessed risk of flight safety, and also to propose measures to decrease it as the minimum to the acceptable.
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issn 2079-0619
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publishDate 2016-12-01
publisher Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation
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series Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
spelling doaj-art-31e95de5fadb4b2eb33336ab0837508e2025-08-20T02:59:49ZrusMoscow State Technical University of Civil AviationНаучный вестник МГТУ ГА2079-06192542-01192016-12-010225151156889THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINESP. M. Polyakov0M. V. Karmyzov1S. V. Monakhova2МГТУ ГАПАО «Аэрофлот»Егорьевский авиационный технический колледж гражданской авиации – филиал МГТУ ГАDeterminating the tendencies in varying indices of flight safety and taking all the necessary measures to enhance flight safety for small airlines is becoming the complex problem. The article proposes the use of methods of the reproduction (multiplication) of statistical information on the flight safety, to determine the acceptable level of flight safety for small airlines via the designation of confidence intervals. A similar approach enables to obtain the artificial random distributions, for example, of the deviations of mean operating time of the flight accident (incident) from the mathematical expectation of this operating time under the conditions of using limited statistical data. On the entry of the controlled index, into one or another interval it is possible to judge the acceptability of the assessed risk of flight safety, and also to propose measures to decrease it as the minimum to the acceptable.https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/889flights safetyreproduction (multiplication) of statisticsthe small airline
spellingShingle P. M. Polyakov
M. V. Karmyzov
S. V. Monakhova
THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
flights safety
reproduction (multiplication) of statistics
the small airline
title THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
title_full THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
title_fullStr THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
title_full_unstemmed THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
title_short THE APPLICATION OF REPRODUCTION OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION TO SOLVE PRACTICAL PROBLEMS OF DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABLE LEVEL OF FLIGHT SAFETY IN THE SMALL AIRLINES
title_sort application of reproduction of statistical information to solve practical problems of determining the acceptable level of flight safety in the small airlines
topic flights safety
reproduction (multiplication) of statistics
the small airline
url https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/889
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