Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.

This study presents a novel approach to modeling breast cancer dynamics, one of the most significant health threats to women worldwide. Utilizing a piecewise mathematical framework, we incorporate both deterministic and stochastic elements of cancer progression. The model is divided into three disti...

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Main Authors: Khaled Aldwoah, Hanen Louati, Nedal Eljaneid, Tariq Aljaaidi, Faez Alqarni, AbdelAziz Elsayed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313676
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author Khaled Aldwoah
Hanen Louati
Nedal Eljaneid
Tariq Aljaaidi
Faez Alqarni
AbdelAziz Elsayed
author_facet Khaled Aldwoah
Hanen Louati
Nedal Eljaneid
Tariq Aljaaidi
Faez Alqarni
AbdelAziz Elsayed
author_sort Khaled Aldwoah
collection DOAJ
description This study presents a novel approach to modeling breast cancer dynamics, one of the most significant health threats to women worldwide. Utilizing a piecewise mathematical framework, we incorporate both deterministic and stochastic elements of cancer progression. The model is divided into three distinct phases: (1) initial growth, characterized by a constant-order Caputo proportional operator (CPC), (2) intermediate growth, modeled by a variable-order CPC, and (3) advanced stages, capturing stochastic fluctuations in cancer cell populations using a stochastic operator. Theoretical analysis, employing fixed-point theory for the fractional-order phases and Ito calculus for the stochastic phase, establishes the existence and uniqueness of solutions. A robust numerical scheme, combining the nonstandard finite difference method for fractional models and the Euler-Maruyama method for the stochastic system, enables simulations of breast cancer progression under various scenarios. Critically, the model is validated against real breast cancer data from Saudi Arabia spanning 2004-2016. Numerical simulations accurately capture observed trends, demonstrating the model's predictive capabilities. Further, we investigate the impact of chemotherapy and its associated cardiotoxicity, illustrating different treatment response scenarios through graphical representations. This piecewise fractional-stochastic model offers a powerful tool for understanding and predicting breast cancer dynamics, potentially informing more effective treatment strategies.
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
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spelling doaj-art-319339c63488441bbd21ab3bcc25d2f32025-01-17T05:31:20ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01201e031367610.1371/journal.pone.0313676Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.Khaled AldwoahHanen LouatiNedal EljaneidTariq AljaaidiFaez AlqarniAbdelAziz ElsayedThis study presents a novel approach to modeling breast cancer dynamics, one of the most significant health threats to women worldwide. Utilizing a piecewise mathematical framework, we incorporate both deterministic and stochastic elements of cancer progression. The model is divided into three distinct phases: (1) initial growth, characterized by a constant-order Caputo proportional operator (CPC), (2) intermediate growth, modeled by a variable-order CPC, and (3) advanced stages, capturing stochastic fluctuations in cancer cell populations using a stochastic operator. Theoretical analysis, employing fixed-point theory for the fractional-order phases and Ito calculus for the stochastic phase, establishes the existence and uniqueness of solutions. A robust numerical scheme, combining the nonstandard finite difference method for fractional models and the Euler-Maruyama method for the stochastic system, enables simulations of breast cancer progression under various scenarios. Critically, the model is validated against real breast cancer data from Saudi Arabia spanning 2004-2016. Numerical simulations accurately capture observed trends, demonstrating the model's predictive capabilities. Further, we investigate the impact of chemotherapy and its associated cardiotoxicity, illustrating different treatment response scenarios through graphical representations. This piecewise fractional-stochastic model offers a powerful tool for understanding and predicting breast cancer dynamics, potentially informing more effective treatment strategies.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313676
spellingShingle Khaled Aldwoah
Hanen Louati
Nedal Eljaneid
Tariq Aljaaidi
Faez Alqarni
AbdelAziz Elsayed
Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
PLoS ONE
title Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
title_full Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
title_fullStr Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
title_full_unstemmed Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
title_short Fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation.
title_sort fractional and stochastic modeling of breast cancer progression with real data validation
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313676
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