Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review

Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using P...

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Main Authors: Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi, Yazidhi Bamutaze, Isa Kabenge, Joshua Wanyama, Michael Kizza, Geoffrey Gabiri, Pascal Emanuel Egli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2025-01-01
Series:HydroResearch
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000568
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author Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi
Yazidhi Bamutaze
Isa Kabenge
Joshua Wanyama
Michael Kizza
Geoffrey Gabiri
Pascal Emanuel Egli
author_facet Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi
Yazidhi Bamutaze
Isa Kabenge
Joshua Wanyama
Michael Kizza
Geoffrey Gabiri
Pascal Emanuel Egli
author_sort Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi
collection DOAJ
description Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2589-7578
language English
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publisher KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
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series HydroResearch
spelling doaj-art-315dcc9c080240329a510f14bf8d048d2025-01-11T06:41:52ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.HydroResearch2589-75782025-01-018332350Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic reviewMaximo Basheija Twinomuhangi0Yazidhi Bamutaze1Isa Kabenge2Joshua Wanyama3Michael Kizza4Geoffrey Gabiri5Pascal Emanuel Egli6Department of Geography, Geo-informatics and Climatic Sciences, College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, P.O. Box 576, Uganda; Corresponding author.Department of Geography, Geo-informatics and Climatic Sciences, College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, P.O. Box 576, UgandaDepartment of Agriculture and Bio-systems Engineering, College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, P.O. Box 576, UgandaDepartment of Agriculture and Bio-systems Engineering, College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, P.O. Box 576, UgandaNile Basin Initiative, P.O Box 192, Entebbe, Uganda Plot 12, Mpigi Road, Entebbe, UgandaKyambogo University, P.O. Box 1, Kyambogo, UgandaInstitute of Geography and Social Anthropology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Edvard Bulls Veg 1, 7049 Trondheim, NorwayResearch on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000568StationarityNon-stationarityHydrological extremesFrequency analysisCovariates
spellingShingle Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi
Yazidhi Bamutaze
Isa Kabenge
Joshua Wanyama
Michael Kizza
Geoffrey Gabiri
Pascal Emanuel Egli
Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
HydroResearch
Stationarity
Non-stationarity
Hydrological extremes
Frequency analysis
Covariates
title Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
title_full Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
title_fullStr Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
title_short Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
title_sort analysis of stationary and non stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment a systematic review
topic Stationarity
Non-stationarity
Hydrological extremes
Frequency analysis
Covariates
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000568
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