DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY

The article runs about the necessity of improvement method of account efficiency of the investment project in condition unstable economic development. In article offered a method of reducing investment risk in the account of the investment project of real option method in condition indeterminacy. Fo...

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Main Authors: N. A. Kharitonova, A. A. Bukreeva
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Real Economics Publishing House 2014-10-01
Series:Стратегические решения и риск-менеджмент
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/108
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author N. A. Kharitonova
A. A. Bukreeva
author_facet N. A. Kharitonova
A. A. Bukreeva
author_sort N. A. Kharitonova
collection DOAJ
description The article runs about the necessity of improvement method of account efficiency of the investment project in condition unstable economic development. In article offered a method of reducing investment risk in the account of the investment project of real option method in condition indeterminacy. For this purpose developed the formula for determining the discount rate of each scenario of events. In addition, authors develop the concept of construction of stages for the purpose of definition of scenarios of the investment project and their probability with a view of overcoming of the basic problems of use of multiscenary model for estimation of cost of real options. For the purpose of decrease in risks of the operating enterprise both classification of real options is developed for a conclusion of the enterprise from crisis, and as a preventive measure, with instructions of sources of financial resources
format Article
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institution OA Journals
issn 2618-947X
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language Russian
publishDate 2014-10-01
publisher Real Economics Publishing House
record_format Article
series Стратегические решения и риск-менеджмент
spelling doaj-art-2fa3d42e935e48d787603811b27b214a2025-08-20T02:10:38ZrusReal Economics Publishing HouseСтратегические решения и риск-менеджмент2618-947X2618-99842014-10-0102667310.17747/2078-8886-2012-2-66-73122DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTYN. A. Kharitonova0A. A. Bukreeva1Consulting Audit Company, OOO; Finance University under the Government of the Russian FederationJSC “Magnitogorsk Metallurgical Combine”The article runs about the necessity of improvement method of account efficiency of the investment project in condition unstable economic development. In article offered a method of reducing investment risk in the account of the investment project of real option method in condition indeterminacy. For this purpose developed the formula for determining the discount rate of each scenario of events. In addition, authors develop the concept of construction of stages for the purpose of definition of scenarios of the investment project and their probability with a view of overcoming of the basic problems of use of multiscenary model for estimation of cost of real options. For the purpose of decrease in risks of the operating enterprise both classification of real options is developed for a conclusion of the enterprise from crisis, and as a preventive measure, with instructions of sources of financial resourceshttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/108real options methodaccount efficiency of the investment projectdecrease in risks of the enterprisediscount ratescenario of the plan investmentsconsideration of asset risk
spellingShingle N. A. Kharitonova
A. A. Bukreeva
DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
Стратегические решения и риск-менеджмент
real options method
account efficiency of the investment project
decrease in risks of the enterprise
discount rate
scenario of the plan investments
consideration of asset risk
title DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
title_full DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
title_fullStr DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
title_full_unstemmed DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
title_short DEVELOPMENT OF THE MECHANISM OF THE INVESTMENT ANALYSIS IN THE CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
title_sort development of the mechanism of the investment analysis in the conditions of uncertainty
topic real options method
account efficiency of the investment project
decrease in risks of the enterprise
discount rate
scenario of the plan investments
consideration of asset risk
url https://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/108
work_keys_str_mv AT nakharitonova developmentofthemechanismoftheinvestmentanalysisintheconditionsofuncertainty
AT aabukreeva developmentofthemechanismoftheinvestmentanalysisintheconditionsofuncertainty