The social costs of solar radiation management

Abstract In this essay, we argue that the all-things-considered “price” of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is much higher than its modest technical costs would indicate. First, we estimate that Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) will generate between $0 and $809 billion annually in side-effect h...

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Main Authors: Jacob Bronsther, Yangyang Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:npj Climate Action
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00273-y
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author Jacob Bronsther
Yangyang Xu
author_facet Jacob Bronsther
Yangyang Xu
author_sort Jacob Bronsther
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In this essay, we argue that the all-things-considered “price” of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is much higher than its modest technical costs would indicate. First, we estimate that Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) will generate between $0 and $809 billion annually in side-effect harms, while the number is likely to be considerably higher for Marine Cloud Brightening (MCB). Second, SRM would depend on unprecedented international cooperation and, therefore, risk global instability. Third, politicians may hesitate to support SRM since they may be held politically accountable for everyday “bad” weather as well as extreme weather events. Fourth, SRM poses “termination risks.” Finally, we observe that when the holistic, “true” cost of SRM is fully accounted for, the comparison between SRM and what we term “large-scale” Carbon Dioxide Removal becomes complex.
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spelling doaj-art-2f6b1d1ffa5145f8a990084eb189a5bd2025-08-20T03:46:32ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate Action2731-98142025-07-01411910.1038/s44168-025-00273-yThe social costs of solar radiation managementJacob Bronsther0Yangyang Xu1College of Law, Michigan State UniversityDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M UniversityAbstract In this essay, we argue that the all-things-considered “price” of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is much higher than its modest technical costs would indicate. First, we estimate that Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) will generate between $0 and $809 billion annually in side-effect harms, while the number is likely to be considerably higher for Marine Cloud Brightening (MCB). Second, SRM would depend on unprecedented international cooperation and, therefore, risk global instability. Third, politicians may hesitate to support SRM since they may be held politically accountable for everyday “bad” weather as well as extreme weather events. Fourth, SRM poses “termination risks.” Finally, we observe that when the holistic, “true” cost of SRM is fully accounted for, the comparison between SRM and what we term “large-scale” Carbon Dioxide Removal becomes complex.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00273-y
spellingShingle Jacob Bronsther
Yangyang Xu
The social costs of solar radiation management
npj Climate Action
title The social costs of solar radiation management
title_full The social costs of solar radiation management
title_fullStr The social costs of solar radiation management
title_full_unstemmed The social costs of solar radiation management
title_short The social costs of solar radiation management
title_sort social costs of solar radiation management
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00273-y
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