Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions

Background Identifying clusters of co-occurring diseases may help characterise distinct phenotypes of Multiple Long-Term Conditions (MLTC). Understanding the associations of disease clusters with health-related outcomes requires a strategy to assign clusters to people, but it is unclear how the perf...

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Main Authors: Thomas Beaney, Jonathan Clarke, David Salman, Thomas Woodcock, Azeem Majeed, Mauricio Barahona, Paul Aylin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-04-01
Series:Journal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/26335565241247430
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author Thomas Beaney
Jonathan Clarke
David Salman
Thomas Woodcock
Azeem Majeed
Mauricio Barahona
Paul Aylin
author_facet Thomas Beaney
Jonathan Clarke
David Salman
Thomas Woodcock
Azeem Majeed
Mauricio Barahona
Paul Aylin
author_sort Thomas Beaney
collection DOAJ
description Background Identifying clusters of co-occurring diseases may help characterise distinct phenotypes of Multiple Long-Term Conditions (MLTC). Understanding the associations of disease clusters with health-related outcomes requires a strategy to assign clusters to people, but it is unclear how the performance of strategies compare. Aims First, to compare the performance of methods of assigning disease clusters to people at explaining mortality, emergency department attendances and hospital admissions over one year. Second, to identify the extent of variation in the associations with each outcome between and within clusters. Methods We conducted a cohort study of primary care electronic health records in England, including adults with MLTC. Seven strategies were tested to assign patients to fifteen disease clusters representing 212 LTCs, identified from our previous work. We tested the performance of each strategy at explaining associations with the three outcomes over 1 year using logistic regression and compared to a strategy using the individual LTCs. Results 6,286,233 patients with MLTC were included. Of the seven strategies tested, a strategy assigning the count of conditions within each cluster performed best at explaining all three outcomes but was inferior to using information on the individual LTCs. There was a larger range of effect sizes for the individual LTCs within the same cluster than there was between the clusters. Conclusion Strategies of assigning clusters of co-occurring diseases to people were less effective at explaining health-related outcomes than a person’s individual diseases. Furthermore, clusters did not represent consistent relationships of the LTCs within them, which might limit their application in clinical research.
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spelling doaj-art-2f5a271d0b124df5a66c5d84b822a1eb2025-08-20T02:28:01ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity2633-55652024-04-011410.1177/26335565241247430Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditionsThomas BeaneyJonathan ClarkeDavid SalmanThomas WoodcockAzeem MajeedMauricio BarahonaPaul AylinBackground Identifying clusters of co-occurring diseases may help characterise distinct phenotypes of Multiple Long-Term Conditions (MLTC). Understanding the associations of disease clusters with health-related outcomes requires a strategy to assign clusters to people, but it is unclear how the performance of strategies compare. Aims First, to compare the performance of methods of assigning disease clusters to people at explaining mortality, emergency department attendances and hospital admissions over one year. Second, to identify the extent of variation in the associations with each outcome between and within clusters. Methods We conducted a cohort study of primary care electronic health records in England, including adults with MLTC. Seven strategies were tested to assign patients to fifteen disease clusters representing 212 LTCs, identified from our previous work. We tested the performance of each strategy at explaining associations with the three outcomes over 1 year using logistic regression and compared to a strategy using the individual LTCs. Results 6,286,233 patients with MLTC were included. Of the seven strategies tested, a strategy assigning the count of conditions within each cluster performed best at explaining all three outcomes but was inferior to using information on the individual LTCs. There was a larger range of effect sizes for the individual LTCs within the same cluster than there was between the clusters. Conclusion Strategies of assigning clusters of co-occurring diseases to people were less effective at explaining health-related outcomes than a person’s individual diseases. Furthermore, clusters did not represent consistent relationships of the LTCs within them, which might limit their application in clinical research.https://doi.org/10.1177/26335565241247430
spellingShingle Thomas Beaney
Jonathan Clarke
David Salman
Thomas Woodcock
Azeem Majeed
Mauricio Barahona
Paul Aylin
Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
Journal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity
title Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
title_full Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
title_fullStr Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
title_full_unstemmed Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
title_short Assigning disease clusters to people: A cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long-term conditions
title_sort assigning disease clusters to people a cohort study of the implications for understanding health outcomes in people with multiple long term conditions
url https://doi.org/10.1177/26335565241247430
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