Casting Light on Dependency Structures in Ensemble Forecasts With the 2‐D Rank Histogram
ABSTRACT A forecast is reliable if it is statistically indistinguishable from the observation in a distributional sense. In probabilistic forecasting, reliability is a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for optimal decision‐making. In ensemble forecasting, reliability is the sign of a well‐des...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Meteorological Applications |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70057 |
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