Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change

The soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate...

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Main Authors: Aniket Banerjee, Urvashi Verma, Margaret T. Lewis, Rana D. Parshad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2025-02-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2025023
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author Aniket Banerjee
Urvashi Verma
Margaret T. Lewis
Rana D. Parshad
author_facet Aniket Banerjee
Urvashi Verma
Margaret T. Lewis
Rana D. Parshad
author_sort Aniket Banerjee
collection DOAJ
description The soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate change predicts increased flooding in the North Central United States, mathematical models that incorporate such factors are required to better inform pest management strategies. Motivated by these empirical results, we considered the effect of non-smooth Allee type mechanisms, for the two species Lotka-Volterra competition model. We showed that this mechanism can alter classical competitive dynamics in both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) as well as the spatially explicit setting. In particular, an Allee effect present in the weaker competitor could lead to bi-stability dynamics, as well as competitive exclusion reversal. We discuss applications of our results to pest management strategies for soybean aphids in the context of a changing climate.
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spelling doaj-art-2e9b78529e6b4cc8a437b4ca3351d55a2025-08-20T02:26:03ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182025-02-0122360465110.3934/mbe.2025023Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate changeAniket Banerjee0Urvashi Verma1Margaret T. Lewis2Rana D. Parshad3Sorbonne Université, Université Paris Cité, CNRS, Laboratoire Jacques-Louis Lions, F-75005 Paris, FranceDepartment of Mathematics, Iowa State University, IA 50011, USADepartment of Entomology, Ohio State University, OH 43210, USADepartment of Mathematics, Iowa State University, IA 50011, USAThe soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate change predicts increased flooding in the North Central United States, mathematical models that incorporate such factors are required to better inform pest management strategies. Motivated by these empirical results, we considered the effect of non-smooth Allee type mechanisms, for the two species Lotka-Volterra competition model. We showed that this mechanism can alter classical competitive dynamics in both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) as well as the spatially explicit setting. In particular, an Allee effect present in the weaker competitor could lead to bi-stability dynamics, as well as competitive exclusion reversal. We discuss applications of our results to pest management strategies for soybean aphids in the context of a changing climate.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2025023non-smooth dynamical systemcoexistenceallee effectbi-stabilitybifurcationsfinite time extinctionreaction-diffusion systemsdifferential fitnesssoybean aphid controlclimate change
spellingShingle Aniket Banerjee
Urvashi Verma
Margaret T. Lewis
Rana D. Parshad
Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
non-smooth dynamical system
coexistence
allee effect
bi-stability
bifurcations
finite time extinction
reaction-diffusion systems
differential fitness
soybean aphid control
climate change
title Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
title_full Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
title_fullStr Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
title_short Two species competition with a 'non-smooth' Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
title_sort two species competition with a non smooth allee mechanism applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change
topic non-smooth dynamical system
coexistence
allee effect
bi-stability
bifurcations
finite time extinction
reaction-diffusion systems
differential fitness
soybean aphid control
climate change
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2025023
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