Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak
An analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2012-01-01
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| Series: | Advances in Astronomy |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375 |
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| _version_ | 1832566806525509632 |
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| author | V. M. Silbergleit |
| author_facet | V. M. Silbergleit |
| author_sort | V. M. Silbergleit |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | An analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our adjustment shows that the current cycle would have a sunspot peak less than the biggest one observed during the cycle 19 giving an additional support to the declination in solar activity which is currently happening. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-2e2ed22d78ac4b4187a596ddae5b92a4 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-7969 1687-7977 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2012-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Astronomy |
| spelling | doaj-art-2e2ed22d78ac4b4187a596ddae5b92a42025-02-03T01:03:00ZengWileyAdvances in Astronomy1687-79691687-79772012-01-01201210.1155/2012/167375167375Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle PeakV. M. Silbergleit0Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Buenos Aires, ArgentinaAn analysis of multiple linear regression method applied to solar cycles 4 to 23 using lagged values of smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers as independent variables is presented. According to that, the amplitude of current solar cycle 24 is estimated providing a quantitative prediction result. Our adjustment shows that the current cycle would have a sunspot peak less than the biggest one observed during the cycle 19 giving an additional support to the declination in solar activity which is currently happening.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375 |
| spellingShingle | V. M. Silbergleit Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak Advances in Astronomy |
| title | Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak |
| title_full | Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak |
| title_fullStr | Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak |
| title_full_unstemmed | Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak |
| title_short | Probable Values of Current Solar Cycle Peak |
| title_sort | probable values of current solar cycle peak |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/167375 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT vmsilbergleit probablevaluesofcurrentsolarcyclepeak |