Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools

Background. Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and pos...

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Main Authors: Merih T. Tesfazghi, Anne R. Bass, Noor Al-Hammadi, Scott C. Woller, Scott M. Stevens, Charles S. Eby, Mitchell G. Scott, Lindsey Snyder, Troy S. Wildes, Brian F. Gage
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Cardiology Research and Practice
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8244047
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author Merih T. Tesfazghi
Anne R. Bass
Noor Al-Hammadi
Scott C. Woller
Scott M. Stevens
Charles S. Eby
Mitchell G. Scott
Lindsey Snyder
Troy S. Wildes
Brian F. Gage
author_facet Merih T. Tesfazghi
Anne R. Bass
Noor Al-Hammadi
Scott C. Woller
Scott M. Stevens
Charles S. Eby
Mitchell G. Scott
Lindsey Snyder
Troy S. Wildes
Brian F. Gage
author_sort Merih T. Tesfazghi
collection DOAJ
description Background. Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and postoperative day 2 (POD2) hs-cTnI levels in patients undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. Methods. This study is ancillary to the Genetics-InFormatics Trial (GIFT) of Warfarin Therapy to Prevent Deep Venous Thrombosis, which enrolled patients 65 years and older undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. The five cardiac risk scores evaluated were the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease calculator (ASCVD), the Framingham risk score (FRS), the American College of Surgeon’s National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) calculator, the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI), and the reconstructed RCRI (R-RCRI). Results. None of the scores predicted MINS in women. Among men, the ASCVD (C-statistic of 0.66; p=0.04), ACS-NSQIP (C-statistic of 0.69; p=0.01), and RCRI (C-statistic of 0.64; p=0.04) predicted MINS. Among all patients, spearman correlations (rs) of the risk scores with the POD2 hs-cTnI levels were 0.24, 0.20, 0.11, 0.11, and 0.08 for the ASCVD, Framingham, ACS-NSQIP, RCRI, and R-RCRI scores, respectively, with p values of <0.001, <0.001, <0.001, 0.006, and 0.025. Baseline hs-cTnI predicted MINS (C-statistics: 0.63 in women and 0.72 in men) and postoperative hs-cTnI (rs = 0.51, p=0.001). Conclusion. In elderly patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty, several of the scores modestly predicted MINS in men and correlated with POD2 hs-cTnI.
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spelling doaj-art-2db3eeb03a0f4267a8be43b1e6f0af5e2025-08-20T02:24:07ZengWileyCardiology Research and Practice2090-05972022-01-01202210.1155/2022/8244047Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction ToolsMerih T. Tesfazghi0Anne R. Bass1Noor Al-Hammadi2Scott C. Woller3Scott M. Stevens4Charles S. Eby5Mitchell G. Scott6Lindsey Snyder7Troy S. Wildes8Brian F. Gage9Department of Pathology and ImmunologyDepartment of MedicineDepartment of MedicineDepartment of MedicineDepartment of MedicineDepartment of Pathology and ImmunologyDepartment of Pathology and ImmunologyDepartment of MedicineDepartment of AnesthesiologyDepartment of MedicineBackground. Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and postoperative day 2 (POD2) hs-cTnI levels in patients undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. Methods. This study is ancillary to the Genetics-InFormatics Trial (GIFT) of Warfarin Therapy to Prevent Deep Venous Thrombosis, which enrolled patients 65 years and older undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. The five cardiac risk scores evaluated were the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease calculator (ASCVD), the Framingham risk score (FRS), the American College of Surgeon’s National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) calculator, the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI), and the reconstructed RCRI (R-RCRI). Results. None of the scores predicted MINS in women. Among men, the ASCVD (C-statistic of 0.66; p=0.04), ACS-NSQIP (C-statistic of 0.69; p=0.01), and RCRI (C-statistic of 0.64; p=0.04) predicted MINS. Among all patients, spearman correlations (rs) of the risk scores with the POD2 hs-cTnI levels were 0.24, 0.20, 0.11, 0.11, and 0.08 for the ASCVD, Framingham, ACS-NSQIP, RCRI, and R-RCRI scores, respectively, with p values of <0.001, <0.001, <0.001, 0.006, and 0.025. Baseline hs-cTnI predicted MINS (C-statistics: 0.63 in women and 0.72 in men) and postoperative hs-cTnI (rs = 0.51, p=0.001). Conclusion. In elderly patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty, several of the scores modestly predicted MINS in men and correlated with POD2 hs-cTnI.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8244047
spellingShingle Merih T. Tesfazghi
Anne R. Bass
Noor Al-Hammadi
Scott C. Woller
Scott M. Stevens
Charles S. Eby
Mitchell G. Scott
Lindsey Snyder
Troy S. Wildes
Brian F. Gage
Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
Cardiology Research and Practice
title Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
title_full Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
title_fullStr Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
title_short Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools
title_sort predicting postoperative troponin in patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty a comparison of five cardiac risk prediction tools
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8244047
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