THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS

We study the methane emission over the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) under the changing sub-aquatic permafrost conditions from the time of inundation 9–6 thousand years BP to present and further until the end of the millennium. The study is based on the full-physics model of hydrothermal regime...

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Main Authors: O. A. Anisimov, I. I. Borzenkova, S. A. Lavrov, Yu. G. Strel’chenko
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2015-11-01
Series:Лëд и снег
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/231
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author O. A. Anisimov
I. I. Borzenkova
S. A. Lavrov
Yu. G. Strel’chenko
author_facet O. A. Anisimov
I. I. Borzenkova
S. A. Lavrov
Yu. G. Strel’chenko
author_sort O. A. Anisimov
collection DOAJ
description We study the methane emission over the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) under the changing sub-aquatic permafrost conditions from the time of inundation 9–6 thousand years BP to present and further until the end of the millennium. The study is based on the full-physics model of hydrothermal regime of soil. Our results indicate that the current elevated methane emission from ESAS is responsible for 0.01 ºС global air temperature rise. Even under the hypothetic climate scenario that overestimates the range of near-bottom water temperature rise, projected by the end of the millennium thawing of the bottom sediments is likely to be about90 mand will thus not reach the upper limit of the methane hydrate stability zone that is located 100–140 munderneath the sea bottom. The results of the study do not support the so called «methane bomb» hypothesis that is widely discussed in the scientific literature and in the media.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2076-6734
2412-3765
language Russian
publishDate 2015-11-01
publisher Nauka
record_format Article
series Лëд и снег
spelling doaj-art-2d329f2ab3194f0cb01af35f4db3709b2025-08-20T03:44:18ZrusNaukaЛëд и снег2076-67342412-37652015-11-015229710510.15356/2076-6734-2012-2-97-105218THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEASO. A. Anisimov0I. I. Borzenkova1S. A. Lavrov2Yu. G. Strel’chenko3Государственный гидрологический институт, Санкт-ПетербургState Hydrological Institute, St.-PetersburgState Hydrological Institute, St.-PetersburgState Hydrological Institute, St.-PetersburgWe study the methane emission over the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) under the changing sub-aquatic permafrost conditions from the time of inundation 9–6 thousand years BP to present and further until the end of the millennium. The study is based on the full-physics model of hydrothermal regime of soil. Our results indicate that the current elevated methane emission from ESAS is responsible for 0.01 ºС global air temperature rise. Even under the hypothetic climate scenario that overestimates the range of near-bottom water temperature rise, projected by the end of the millennium thawing of the bottom sediments is likely to be about90 mand will thus not reach the upper limit of the methane hydrate stability zone that is located 100–140 munderneath the sea bottom. The results of the study do not support the so called «methane bomb» hypothesis that is widely discussed in the scientific literature and in the media.https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/231gas hydratesmethane emissionshelfsub-aquatic permafrost.
spellingShingle O. A. Anisimov
I. I. Borzenkova
S. A. Lavrov
Yu. G. Strel’chenko
THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
Лëд и снег
gas hydrates
methane emission
shelf
sub-aquatic permafrost.
title THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
title_full THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
title_fullStr THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
title_full_unstemmed THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
title_short THE CURRENT DYNAMICS OF THE SUBMARINE PERMAFROST AND METHANE EMISSION ON THE SHELF OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC SEAS
title_sort current dynamics of the submarine permafrost and methane emission on the shelf of the eastern arctic seas
topic gas hydrates
methane emission
shelf
sub-aquatic permafrost.
url https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/231
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