Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography

We investigate bifurcations and dynamical behaviors of discrete SEIS models with exogenous reinfections and a variety of treatment strategies. Bifurcations identified from the models include period doubling, backward, forward-backward, and multiple backward bifurcations. Multiple attractors, such as...

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Main Authors: Hui Cao, Yicang Zhou, Baojun Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2011-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/653937
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author Hui Cao
Yicang Zhou
Baojun Song
author_facet Hui Cao
Yicang Zhou
Baojun Song
author_sort Hui Cao
collection DOAJ
description We investigate bifurcations and dynamical behaviors of discrete SEIS models with exogenous reinfections and a variety of treatment strategies. Bifurcations identified from the models include period doubling, backward, forward-backward, and multiple backward bifurcations. Multiple attractors, such as bistability and tristability, are observed. We also estimate the ultimate boundary of the infected regardless of initial status. Our rigorously mathematical analysis together with numerical simulations show that epidemiological factors alone can generate complex dynamics, though demographic factors only support simple equilibrium dynamics. Our model analysis supports and urges to treat a fixed percentage of exposed individuals.
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publishDate 2011-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-2b68b1c406f04f0ea322f91c3368a2fa2025-08-20T02:04:30ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2011-01-01201110.1155/2011/653937653937Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple DemographyHui Cao0Yicang Zhou1Baojun Song2Department of Applied Mathematics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, ChinaDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, ChinaDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Montclair State University, Montclair, NJ 07043, USAWe investigate bifurcations and dynamical behaviors of discrete SEIS models with exogenous reinfections and a variety of treatment strategies. Bifurcations identified from the models include period doubling, backward, forward-backward, and multiple backward bifurcations. Multiple attractors, such as bistability and tristability, are observed. We also estimate the ultimate boundary of the infected regardless of initial status. Our rigorously mathematical analysis together with numerical simulations show that epidemiological factors alone can generate complex dynamics, though demographic factors only support simple equilibrium dynamics. Our model analysis supports and urges to treat a fixed percentage of exposed individuals.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/653937
spellingShingle Hui Cao
Yicang Zhou
Baojun Song
Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
title_full Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
title_fullStr Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
title_full_unstemmed Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
title_short Complex Dynamics of Discrete SEIS Models with Simple Demography
title_sort complex dynamics of discrete seis models with simple demography
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/653937
work_keys_str_mv AT huicao complexdynamicsofdiscreteseismodelswithsimpledemography
AT yicangzhou complexdynamicsofdiscreteseismodelswithsimpledemography
AT baojunsong complexdynamicsofdiscreteseismodelswithsimpledemography