Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study

PurposeThe study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict live birth outcomes in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment.Materials and methodsData were collected from the Center for Reproductive Medicine, Shandong University, between January 2016 and December 2020. This study in...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhongyuan Li, Wei Chen, Xiaohan Sun, Xueqing Zhao, Jingmei Hu, Li Ge, Wenting Wang, Ping Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1473923/full
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849317130720247808
author Zhongyuan Li
Wei Chen
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Li Ge
Wenting Wang
Ping Zhang
author_facet Zhongyuan Li
Wei Chen
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Li Ge
Wenting Wang
Ping Zhang
author_sort Zhongyuan Li
collection DOAJ
description PurposeThe study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict live birth outcomes in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment.Materials and methodsData were collected from the Center for Reproductive Medicine, Shandong University, between January 2016 and December 2020. This study included 222 fresh embryo transfer (ET) cycles and 266 frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. Patients were divided into a modeling cohort and a validation cohort. In the modeling cohort, multivariable logistic regression was used to generate the predictive model and construct the nomogram. The predictive model was subsequently validated and calibrated.ResultsIn total, 249 patients (51.0%) achieved clinical pregnancy, and 165 patients (33.8%) had a live birth. Predictive variables in the final model included mean initial uterine diameter, age, body mass index (BMI), type of infertility (primary or secondary), stage of transferred embryo, endometrial thickness, number of embryos transferred, and pregnancy type. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the final prediction model was 0.915 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 88.6%–94.3%) in the modeling cohort and 0.940 (95% CI: 90.3%–97.6%) in the validation cohort. Calibration curves and the Hosmer–Lemeshow (H–L) test demonstrated excellent consistency between predicted and actual live birth outcomes.ConclusionsThis study established a well-calibrated predictive model capable of accurately forecasting live birth outcomes in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment.
format Article
id doaj-art-2a42144a70ed4ce3a794b9d5bfc4ef85
institution Kabale University
issn 1664-2392
language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Endocrinology
spelling doaj-art-2a42144a70ed4ce3a794b9d5bfc4ef852025-08-20T03:51:19ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-07-011610.3389/fendo.2025.14739231473923Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort studyZhongyuan Li0Wei Chen1Xiaohan Sun2Xiaohan Sun3Xiaohan Sun4Xiaohan Sun5Xiaohan Sun6Xiaohan Sun7Xiaohan Sun8Xiaohan Sun9Xiaohan Sun10Xueqing Zhao11Xueqing Zhao12Xueqing Zhao13Xueqing Zhao14Xueqing Zhao15Xueqing Zhao16Xueqing Zhao17Xueqing Zhao18Xueqing Zhao19Jingmei Hu20Jingmei Hu21Jingmei Hu22Jingmei Hu23Jingmei Hu24Jingmei Hu25Jingmei Hu26Jingmei Hu27Jingmei Hu28Li Ge29Wenting Wang30Ping Zhang31Center for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaSchool of Radiology, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Tai’an, Shandong, ChinaCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaInstitute of Women, Children and Reproductive Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine and Offspring Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaNational Research Center for Assisted Reproductive Technology and Reproductive Genetics, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaKey laboratory of Reproductive Endocrinology (Shandong University), Ministry of Education, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Technology Innovation Center for Reproductive Health, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Reproductive Health, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China0Research Unit of Gametogenesis and Health of Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART)-Offspring, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (No.2021RU001), Jinan, Shandong, ChinaCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaInstitute of Women, Children and Reproductive Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine and Offspring Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaNational Research Center for Assisted Reproductive Technology and Reproductive Genetics, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaKey laboratory of Reproductive Endocrinology (Shandong University), Ministry of Education, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Technology Innovation Center for Reproductive Health, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Reproductive Health, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China0Research Unit of Gametogenesis and Health of Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART)-Offspring, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (No.2021RU001), Jinan, Shandong, ChinaCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaInstitute of Women, Children and Reproductive Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine and Offspring Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaNational Research Center for Assisted Reproductive Technology and Reproductive Genetics, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaKey laboratory of Reproductive Endocrinology (Shandong University), Ministry of Education, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Reproductive Health, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaShandong Key Laboratory of Reproductive Medicine, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China0Research Unit of Gametogenesis and Health of Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART)-Offspring, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (No.2021RU001), Jinan, Shandong, China1Center for Reproductive Medicine, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China2Gynecologic Department, The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaPurposeThe study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict live birth outcomes in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment.Materials and methodsData were collected from the Center for Reproductive Medicine, Shandong University, between January 2016 and December 2020. This study included 222 fresh embryo transfer (ET) cycles and 266 frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. Patients were divided into a modeling cohort and a validation cohort. In the modeling cohort, multivariable logistic regression was used to generate the predictive model and construct the nomogram. The predictive model was subsequently validated and calibrated.ResultsIn total, 249 patients (51.0%) achieved clinical pregnancy, and 165 patients (33.8%) had a live birth. Predictive variables in the final model included mean initial uterine diameter, age, body mass index (BMI), type of infertility (primary or secondary), stage of transferred embryo, endometrial thickness, number of embryos transferred, and pregnancy type. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the final prediction model was 0.915 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 88.6%–94.3%) in the modeling cohort and 0.940 (95% CI: 90.3%–97.6%) in the validation cohort. Calibration curves and the Hosmer–Lemeshow (H–L) test demonstrated excellent consistency between predicted and actual live birth outcomes.ConclusionsThis study established a well-calibrated predictive model capable of accurately forecasting live birth outcomes in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1473923/fulladenomyosislive birthnomogramin vitro fertilization (IVF)intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI)
spellingShingle Zhongyuan Li
Wei Chen
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xiaohan Sun
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Xueqing Zhao
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Jingmei Hu
Li Ge
Wenting Wang
Ping Zhang
Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
Frontiers in Endocrinology
adenomyosis
live birth
nomogram
in vitro fertilization (IVF)
intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI)
title Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
title_full Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
title_fullStr Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
title_short Nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment: a retrospective cohort study
title_sort nomogram to predict live birth in infertile women with adenomyosis undergoing ivf icsi treatment a retrospective cohort study
topic adenomyosis
live birth
nomogram
in vitro fertilization (IVF)
intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI)
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1473923/full
work_keys_str_mv AT zhongyuanli nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT weichen nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaohansun nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT xueqingzhao nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT jingmeihu nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT lige nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT wentingwang nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy
AT pingzhang nomogramtopredictlivebirthininfertilewomenwithadenomyosisundergoingivficsitreatmentaretrospectivecohortstudy