How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals

In empirical research, scholars can choose between an exploratory causes-of-effects analysis, a confirmatory effects-of-causes approach, or a mechanism-of-effects analysis that can be either exploratory or confirmatory. Understanding the choice between the approaches is important for two reasons. Fi...

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Main Authors: Felix Bethke, Ingo Rohlfing
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2023-05-01
Series:Research & Politics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680231170969
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author Felix Bethke
Ingo Rohlfing
author_facet Felix Bethke
Ingo Rohlfing
author_sort Felix Bethke
collection DOAJ
description In empirical research, scholars can choose between an exploratory causes-of-effects analysis, a confirmatory effects-of-causes approach, or a mechanism-of-effects analysis that can be either exploratory or confirmatory. Understanding the choice between the approaches is important for two reasons. First, the added value of each approach depends on how much is known about the phenomenon of interest at the time of the analysis. Second, because of the specializations of methods, there are benefits to a division of labor between researchers who have expertise in the application of a given method. In this preregistered study, we test two hypotheses that follow from these arguments. We theorize that exploratory research is chosen when little is known about a phenomenon and a confirmatory approach is taken when more knowledge is available. A complementary hypothesis is that quantitative researchers opt for confirmatory designs and qualitative researchers for exploration because of their academic socialization. We test the hypotheses with a survey experiment of more than 900 political scientists from the United States and Europe. The results indicate that the state of knowledge has a significant and sizeable effect on the choice of the approach. In contrast, the evidence about the effect of methods expertise is more ambivalent.
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spelling doaj-art-2a0b6cb80af74228b7ea0d79582b8c3e2025-08-20T03:15:44ZengSAGE PublishingResearch & Politics2053-16802023-05-011010.1177/20531680231170969How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goalsFelix BethkeIngo RohlfingIn empirical research, scholars can choose between an exploratory causes-of-effects analysis, a confirmatory effects-of-causes approach, or a mechanism-of-effects analysis that can be either exploratory or confirmatory. Understanding the choice between the approaches is important for two reasons. First, the added value of each approach depends on how much is known about the phenomenon of interest at the time of the analysis. Second, because of the specializations of methods, there are benefits to a division of labor between researchers who have expertise in the application of a given method. In this preregistered study, we test two hypotheses that follow from these arguments. We theorize that exploratory research is chosen when little is known about a phenomenon and a confirmatory approach is taken when more knowledge is available. A complementary hypothesis is that quantitative researchers opt for confirmatory designs and qualitative researchers for exploration because of their academic socialization. We test the hypotheses with a survey experiment of more than 900 political scientists from the United States and Europe. The results indicate that the state of knowledge has a significant and sizeable effect on the choice of the approach. In contrast, the evidence about the effect of methods expertise is more ambivalent.https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680231170969
spellingShingle Felix Bethke
Ingo Rohlfing
How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
Research & Politics
title How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
title_full How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
title_fullStr How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
title_full_unstemmed How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
title_short How do researchers choose their goals of inference? A survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
title_sort how do researchers choose their goals of inference a survey experiment on the effects of the state of research and method preferences on the choice between research goals
url https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680231170969
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