Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye

Abstract This paper leverages data from February 6, 2023, Kahramanmaras (Turkiye) Earthquake (Mw 7.8) to evaluate seismic risk and assess bridge damage through a fuzzy synthetic approach (FSA). A novel hierarchical damage classification framework is introduced, integrating critical factors such as g...

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Main Authors: Abdullah Ansari, Ayed E. Alluqmani, Zhongkai Huang, Jong-Han Lee, Gürkan Özden, Yewuhalashet Fissha, Taoufik Saidani, Anas Ansari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-98277-5
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author Abdullah Ansari
Ayed E. Alluqmani
Zhongkai Huang
Jong-Han Lee
Gürkan Özden
Yewuhalashet Fissha
Taoufik Saidani
Anas Ansari
author_facet Abdullah Ansari
Ayed E. Alluqmani
Zhongkai Huang
Jong-Han Lee
Gürkan Özden
Yewuhalashet Fissha
Taoufik Saidani
Anas Ansari
author_sort Abdullah Ansari
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper leverages data from February 6, 2023, Kahramanmaras (Turkiye) Earthquake (Mw 7.8) to evaluate seismic risk and assess bridge damage through a fuzzy synthetic approach (FSA). A novel hierarchical damage classification framework is introduced, integrating critical factors such as ground conditions, structural characteristics, and seismic intensity. By analyzing data from 331 bridges affected by eight major historical earthquakes, the study underscored the influence of foundation depth, construction quality, and distance to fault rupture on structural resilience. Notably, 65% of damaged bridges were within 40 km of the distance to fault rupture, with oblique span orientations (45° to 65°) showing heightened susceptibility to seismic forces. To enhance resilience against earthquakes, the findings advocated for the adoption of deep foundations, advanced materials, and optimized structural designs. Consistent with field observations, the study reinforces the utility of FSA in enabling informed decision-making for disaster risk mitigation and is also beneficial for future seismic resilience design of bridges.
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spelling doaj-art-29eec77a451e4edd939360c99b4cfbf92025-08-20T03:18:30ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-04-0115111610.1038/s41598-025-98277-5Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in TurkiyeAbdullah Ansari0Ayed E. Alluqmani1Zhongkai Huang2Jong-Han Lee3Gürkan Özden4Yewuhalashet Fissha5Taoufik Saidani6Anas Ansari7Earthquake Monitoring Center, Sultan Qaboos UniversityDepartment of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Islamic University of MadinahDepartment of Geotechnical Engineering, College of Civil Engineering, Tongji UniversityDepartment of Civil Engineering, Inha UniversityFaculty of Civil Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, ITU Ayazaga CampusDepartment of Geosciences, Geotechnology and Materials Engineering for Resources, Graduate School of International Resource Sciences, Akita UniversityCenter for Scientific Research and Entrepreneurship, Northern Border UniversityDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Yuan Ze UniversityAbstract This paper leverages data from February 6, 2023, Kahramanmaras (Turkiye) Earthquake (Mw 7.8) to evaluate seismic risk and assess bridge damage through a fuzzy synthetic approach (FSA). A novel hierarchical damage classification framework is introduced, integrating critical factors such as ground conditions, structural characteristics, and seismic intensity. By analyzing data from 331 bridges affected by eight major historical earthquakes, the study underscored the influence of foundation depth, construction quality, and distance to fault rupture on structural resilience. Notably, 65% of damaged bridges were within 40 km of the distance to fault rupture, with oblique span orientations (45° to 65°) showing heightened susceptibility to seismic forces. To enhance resilience against earthquakes, the findings advocated for the adoption of deep foundations, advanced materials, and optimized structural designs. Consistent with field observations, the study reinforces the utility of FSA in enabling informed decision-making for disaster risk mitigation and is also beneficial for future seismic resilience design of bridges.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-98277-5Seismic riskBridge damage classificationFuzzy algorithmTurkiye earthquakeFoundation
spellingShingle Abdullah Ansari
Ayed E. Alluqmani
Zhongkai Huang
Jong-Han Lee
Gürkan Özden
Yewuhalashet Fissha
Taoufik Saidani
Anas Ansari
Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
Scientific Reports
Seismic risk
Bridge damage classification
Fuzzy algorithm
Turkiye earthquake
Foundation
title Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
title_full Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
title_fullStr Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
title_full_unstemmed Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
title_short Fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquake in Turkiye
title_sort fuzzy synthetic approach for seismic risk assessment of bridges with insights from the 2023 kahramanmaras earthquake in turkiye
topic Seismic risk
Bridge damage classification
Fuzzy algorithm
Turkiye earthquake
Foundation
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-98277-5
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