Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change
Abstract The Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) is a rare primate species indicated as endangered and distributed in karst areas in northern Vietnam and southwestern China. However, research limited to specific nature reserves or sites has hampered holistic conservation management. A c...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2024-07-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Evolution |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.11684 |
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| author | Yaqiong Wan Luanxin Li Jiang Zhou Yue Ma Yanjing Zhang Yan Liu Jiaqi Li Wei Liu |
| author_facet | Yaqiong Wan Luanxin Li Jiang Zhou Yue Ma Yanjing Zhang Yan Liu Jiaqi Li Wei Liu |
| author_sort | Yaqiong Wan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract The Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) is a rare primate species indicated as endangered and distributed in karst areas in northern Vietnam and southwestern China. However, research limited to specific nature reserves or sites has hampered holistic conservation management. A comprehensive map of the potential distribution for the Francois' langur is essential to advance conservation efforts and ensure coordinated management across regions. Here, we used 82 occurrence records of Francois' langur surveyed in Guangxi, Guizhou, and Chongqing from 2017 to 2020, along with 12 environmental variables, to build the potential habitat model under current and future climate (2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090s) using maximum entropy models (MaxEnt). Our results indicated that (1) precipitation‐ and temperature‐associated bioclimatic variables contributed the most to the distribution of Francois' langur. Vegetation, water sources, and anthropogenic variables also affected its distribution; (2) a total of 144,207.44 km2 of potential suitable habitat across the entire range in China was estimated by the current model. Moderate‐ and high‐suitability habitats accounted for only 23.76% (34,265.96 km2) of the predicted suitable habitat and were mainly distributed in southwest Guangxi, east of Chongqing, and the border between Guizhou and Chongqing; (3) the suitable habitats of Francois' langur will contract considerably under future climate change, and the habitat centroid will move in the southeast direction with a shifting distance of approximately 2.84 km/year from current to 2100. The habitat prediction of Francois' langur and the main drivers proposed in this study could provide essential insights for the future conservation of this endangered species. The existing distribution areas should be monitored and protected, but conservation beyond existing habitats should also be a focus of effort, especially in future expansion areas. This would ensure effective and timely protection under climate change and anthropogenic pressures. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-29cc4d89a3834199b852ca8eb6c786a3 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2045-7758 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-07-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Evolution |
| spelling | doaj-art-29cc4d89a3834199b852ca8eb6c786a32025-08-20T03:31:42ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582024-07-01147n/an/a10.1002/ece3.11684Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate changeYaqiong Wan0Luanxin Li1Jiang Zhou2Yue Ma3Yanjing Zhang4Yan Liu5Jiaqi Li6Wei Liu7The State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaSchool of Karst Science Guizhou Normal University Guiyang ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaThe State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory on Biodiversity and Biosafety, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences Ministry of Ecology and Environment Nanjing ChinaAbstract The Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) is a rare primate species indicated as endangered and distributed in karst areas in northern Vietnam and southwestern China. However, research limited to specific nature reserves or sites has hampered holistic conservation management. A comprehensive map of the potential distribution for the Francois' langur is essential to advance conservation efforts and ensure coordinated management across regions. Here, we used 82 occurrence records of Francois' langur surveyed in Guangxi, Guizhou, and Chongqing from 2017 to 2020, along with 12 environmental variables, to build the potential habitat model under current and future climate (2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090s) using maximum entropy models (MaxEnt). Our results indicated that (1) precipitation‐ and temperature‐associated bioclimatic variables contributed the most to the distribution of Francois' langur. Vegetation, water sources, and anthropogenic variables also affected its distribution; (2) a total of 144,207.44 km2 of potential suitable habitat across the entire range in China was estimated by the current model. Moderate‐ and high‐suitability habitats accounted for only 23.76% (34,265.96 km2) of the predicted suitable habitat and were mainly distributed in southwest Guangxi, east of Chongqing, and the border between Guizhou and Chongqing; (3) the suitable habitats of Francois' langur will contract considerably under future climate change, and the habitat centroid will move in the southeast direction with a shifting distance of approximately 2.84 km/year from current to 2100. The habitat prediction of Francois' langur and the main drivers proposed in this study could provide essential insights for the future conservation of this endangered species. The existing distribution areas should be monitored and protected, but conservation beyond existing habitats should also be a focus of effort, especially in future expansion areas. This would ensure effective and timely protection under climate change and anthropogenic pressures.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.11684anthropogenic pressuresclimate changeFrancois' langurMaxEnt modelpotential distribution |
| spellingShingle | Yaqiong Wan Luanxin Li Jiang Zhou Yue Ma Yanjing Zhang Yan Liu Jiaqi Li Wei Liu Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change Ecology and Evolution anthropogenic pressures climate change Francois' langur MaxEnt model potential distribution |
| title | Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change |
| title_full | Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change |
| title_fullStr | Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change |
| title_short | Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change |
| title_sort | predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered francois langur trachypithecus francoisi across its entire range in china under climate change |
| topic | anthropogenic pressures climate change Francois' langur MaxEnt model potential distribution |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.11684 |
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