An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems
Abstract As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardizing input and output data is a crucial step in evaluating and communicat...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2025-02-01
|
| Series: | Earth's Future |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004826 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850230375865909248 |
|---|---|
| author | Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros Denisse Fierros‐Arcos Max Lindmark Camilla Novaglio Phoebe Woodworth‐Jefcoats Tyler D. Eddy Marta Coll Elizabeth Fulton Ricardo Oliveros‐Ramos Jonathan Reum Yunne‐Jai Shin Cathy Bulman Leonardo Capitani Samik Datta Kieran Murphy Alice Rogers Lynne Shannon George A. Whitehouse Ezekiel Adekoya Beatriz S. Dias Alba Fuster‐Alonso Cecilie Hansen Bérengère Husson Vidette McGregor Alaia Morell Hem‐Nalini Morzaria Luna Jazel Ouled‐Cheikh James Ruzicka Jeroen Steenbeek Ilaria Stollberg Roshni C. Subramaniam Vivitskaia Tulloch Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz Cheryl S. Harrison Ryan Heneghan Olivier Maury Mercedes Pozo Buil Jacob Schewe Derek P. Tittensor Howard Townsend Julia L. Blanchard |
| author_facet | Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros Denisse Fierros‐Arcos Max Lindmark Camilla Novaglio Phoebe Woodworth‐Jefcoats Tyler D. Eddy Marta Coll Elizabeth Fulton Ricardo Oliveros‐Ramos Jonathan Reum Yunne‐Jai Shin Cathy Bulman Leonardo Capitani Samik Datta Kieran Murphy Alice Rogers Lynne Shannon George A. Whitehouse Ezekiel Adekoya Beatriz S. Dias Alba Fuster‐Alonso Cecilie Hansen Bérengère Husson Vidette McGregor Alaia Morell Hem‐Nalini Morzaria Luna Jazel Ouled‐Cheikh James Ruzicka Jeroen Steenbeek Ilaria Stollberg Roshni C. Subramaniam Vivitskaia Tulloch Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz Cheryl S. Harrison Ryan Heneghan Olivier Maury Mercedes Pozo Buil Jacob Schewe Derek P. Tittensor Howard Townsend Julia L. Blanchard |
| author_sort | Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardizing input and output data is a crucial step in evaluating and communicating results, but can be challenging when using models with diverse structures, assumptions, and outputs that address region‐specific issues. We developed an implementation framework and workflow to standardize the climate and fishing forcings used by regional models contributing to the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) and to facilitate comparative analyses across models and a wide range of regions, in line with the FishMIP 3a protocol. We applied our workflow to three case study areas‐models: the Baltic Sea Mizer, Hawai'i‐based Longline fisheries therMizer, and the southern Benguela ecosystem Atlantis marine ecosystem models. We then selected the most challenging steps of the workflow and illustrated their implementation in different model types and regions. Our workflow is adaptable across a wide range of regional models, from non‐spatially explicit to spatially explicit and fully‐depth resolved models and models that include one or several fishing fleets. This workflow will facilitate the development of regional marine ecosystem model ensembles and enhance future research on marine ecosystem model development and applications, model evaluation and benchmarking, and global‐to‐regional model comparisons. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-29b4480c0d6c4ccabe9ab360c71480fe |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2328-4277 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-02-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth's Future |
| spelling | doaj-art-29b4480c0d6c4ccabe9ab360c71480fe2025-08-20T02:03:54ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772025-02-01132n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004826An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine EcosystemsKelly Ortega‐Cisneros0Denisse Fierros‐Arcos1Max Lindmark2Camilla Novaglio3Phoebe Woodworth‐Jefcoats4Tyler D. Eddy5Marta Coll6Elizabeth Fulton7Ricardo Oliveros‐Ramos8Jonathan Reum9Yunne‐Jai Shin10Cathy Bulman11Leonardo Capitani12Samik Datta13Kieran Murphy14Alice Rogers15Lynne Shannon16George A. Whitehouse17Ezekiel Adekoya18Beatriz S. Dias19Alba Fuster‐Alonso20Cecilie Hansen21Bérengère Husson22Vidette McGregor23Alaia Morell24Hem‐Nalini Morzaria Luna25Jazel Ouled‐Cheikh26James Ruzicka27Jeroen Steenbeek28Ilaria Stollberg29Roshni C. Subramaniam30Vivitskaia Tulloch31Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz32Cheryl S. Harrison33Ryan Heneghan34Olivier Maury35Mercedes Pozo Buil36Jacob Schewe37Derek P. Tittensor38Howard Townsend39Julia L. Blanchard40Marine and Antartic Research for Innovation and Sustainability (MARIS), Department of Biological Sciences University of Cape Town Cape Town South AfricaInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaDepartment of Aquatic Resources Institute of Marine Research Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Lysekil SwedenInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaPacific Islands Fisheries Science Center National Marine Fisheries Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Honolulu HI USACentre for Fisheries Ecosystems Research Fisheries & Marine Institute Memorial University St. John's NL CanadaInstitute of Marine Sciences (ICM‐CSIC) Barcelona SpainCSIRO Environment Hobart TAS AustraliaMARBEC IRD CNRS Ifremer Université de Montpellier Montpellier FranceNOAA Alaska Fisheries Science Center Seattle WA USAMARBEC IRD CNRS Ifremer Université de Montpellier Montpellier FranceCSIRO Environment Hobart TAS AustraliaSwiss Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Research (WSL) Birmensdorf SwitzerlandPopulation Modelling Group National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Wellington New ZealandInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaSchool of Biological Sciences Victoria University of Wellington Wellington New ZealandMarine and Antartic Research for Innovation and Sustainability (MARIS), Department of Biological Sciences University of Cape Town Cape Town South AfricaCooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies University of Washington Seattle WA USAInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaCollege of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences University of Alaska Fairbanks Fairbanks AK USAInstitute of Marine Sciences (ICM‐CSIC) Barcelona SpainInstitute of Marine Research Ecosystem Processes Group Bergen NorwayInstitute of Marine Research Ecosystem Processes Group Bergen NorwayPopulation Modelling Group National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Wellington New ZealandMARBEC IRD CNRS Ifremer Université de Montpellier Montpellier FranceLong Live The Kings Seattle WA USAInstitute of Marine Sciences (ICM‐CSIC) Barcelona SpainPacific Islands Fisheries Science Center National Marine Fisheries Service National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Honolulu HI USAEcopath International Research Association (EII) Barcelona SpainInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaCSIRO Environment Hobart TAS AustraliaBasin‐scale Events to Coastal Impacts (BECI) North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES) Sidney BC CanadaCentre for Fisheries Ecosystems Research Fisheries & Marine Institute Memorial University St. John's NL CanadaDepartment of Ocean and Coastal Science Center for Computation and Technology, Louisiana State University Baton Rouge LA USAAustralian Rivers Institute School of Environment and Science Griffith University Nathan QLD AustraliaMARBEC IRD CNRS Ifremer Université de Montpellier Montpellier FranceInstitute of Marine Sciences University of California Santa Cruz Santa Cruz CA USAPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Member of the Leibniz Association Potsdam GermanyDepartment of Biology Dalhousie University Halifax NS CanadaNOAA Fisheries Office of Science and Technology Silver Spring MD USAInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies University of Tasmania Hobart TAS AustraliaAbstract As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardizing input and output data is a crucial step in evaluating and communicating results, but can be challenging when using models with diverse structures, assumptions, and outputs that address region‐specific issues. We developed an implementation framework and workflow to standardize the climate and fishing forcings used by regional models contributing to the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) and to facilitate comparative analyses across models and a wide range of regions, in line with the FishMIP 3a protocol. We applied our workflow to three case study areas‐models: the Baltic Sea Mizer, Hawai'i‐based Longline fisheries therMizer, and the southern Benguela ecosystem Atlantis marine ecosystem models. We then selected the most challenging steps of the workflow and illustrated their implementation in different model types and regions. Our workflow is adaptable across a wide range of regional models, from non‐spatially explicit to spatially explicit and fully‐depth resolved models and models that include one or several fishing fleets. This workflow will facilitate the development of regional marine ecosystem model ensembles and enhance future research on marine ecosystem model development and applications, model evaluation and benchmarking, and global‐to‐regional model comparisons.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004826Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP)regional marine ecosystem models (MEMS)implementation frameworkworkflow |
| spellingShingle | Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros Denisse Fierros‐Arcos Max Lindmark Camilla Novaglio Phoebe Woodworth‐Jefcoats Tyler D. Eddy Marta Coll Elizabeth Fulton Ricardo Oliveros‐Ramos Jonathan Reum Yunne‐Jai Shin Cathy Bulman Leonardo Capitani Samik Datta Kieran Murphy Alice Rogers Lynne Shannon George A. Whitehouse Ezekiel Adekoya Beatriz S. Dias Alba Fuster‐Alonso Cecilie Hansen Bérengère Husson Vidette McGregor Alaia Morell Hem‐Nalini Morzaria Luna Jazel Ouled‐Cheikh James Ruzicka Jeroen Steenbeek Ilaria Stollberg Roshni C. Subramaniam Vivitskaia Tulloch Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz Cheryl S. Harrison Ryan Heneghan Olivier Maury Mercedes Pozo Buil Jacob Schewe Derek P. Tittensor Howard Townsend Julia L. Blanchard An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems Earth's Future Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) regional marine ecosystem models (MEMS) implementation framework workflow |
| title | An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems |
| title_full | An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems |
| title_fullStr | An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems |
| title_full_unstemmed | An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems |
| title_short | An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems |
| title_sort | integrated global to regional scale workflow for simulating climate change impacts on marine ecosystems |
| topic | Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) regional marine ecosystem models (MEMS) implementation framework workflow |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004826 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kellyortegacisneros anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT denissefierrosarcos anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT maxlindmark anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT camillanovaglio anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT phoebewoodworthjefcoats anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT tylerdeddy anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT martacoll anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT elizabethfulton anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ricardooliverosramos anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jonathanreum anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT yunnejaishin anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT cathybulman anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT leonardocapitani anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT samikdatta anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT kieranmurphy anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT alicerogers anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT lynneshannon anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT georgeawhitehouse anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ezekieladekoya anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT beatrizsdias anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT albafusteralonso anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ceciliehansen anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT berengerehusson anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT videttemcgregor anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT alaiamorell anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT hemnalinimorzarialuna anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jazelouledcheikh anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jamesruzicka anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jeroensteenbeek anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ilariastollberg anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT roshnicsubramaniam anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT vivitskaiatulloch anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT andreabryndumbuchholz anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT cherylsharrison anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ryanheneghan anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT oliviermaury anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT mercedespozobuil anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jacobschewe anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT derekptittensor anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT howardtownsend anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT julialblanchard anintegratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT kellyortegacisneros integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT denissefierrosarcos integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT maxlindmark integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT camillanovaglio integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT phoebewoodworthjefcoats integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT tylerdeddy integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT martacoll integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT elizabethfulton integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ricardooliverosramos integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jonathanreum integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT yunnejaishin integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT cathybulman integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT leonardocapitani integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT samikdatta integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT kieranmurphy integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT alicerogers integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT lynneshannon integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT georgeawhitehouse integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ezekieladekoya integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT beatrizsdias integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT albafusteralonso integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ceciliehansen integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT berengerehusson integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT videttemcgregor integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT alaiamorell integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT hemnalinimorzarialuna integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jazelouledcheikh integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jamesruzicka integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jeroensteenbeek integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ilariastollberg integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT roshnicsubramaniam integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT vivitskaiatulloch integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT andreabryndumbuchholz integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT cherylsharrison integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT ryanheneghan integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT oliviermaury integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT mercedespozobuil integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT jacobschewe integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT derekptittensor integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT howardtownsend integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems AT julialblanchard integratedglobaltoregionalscaleworkflowforsimulatingclimatechangeimpactsonmarineecosystems |