GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties

Abstract This article introduces the Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling method Large Ensemble (GARD-LENS) dataset, comprised of daily precipitation, mean temperature, and temperature range over the Contiguous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii at 12-km, 4-km, and 1-km resolutions, respectively. GARD-LE...

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Main Authors: Samantha H. Hartke, Andrew J. Newman, Ethan Gutmann, Rachel McCrary, Nicholas D. Lybarger, Flavio Lehner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:Scientific Data
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04205-z
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author Samantha H. Hartke
Andrew J. Newman
Ethan Gutmann
Rachel McCrary
Nicholas D. Lybarger
Flavio Lehner
author_facet Samantha H. Hartke
Andrew J. Newman
Ethan Gutmann
Rachel McCrary
Nicholas D. Lybarger
Flavio Lehner
author_sort Samantha H. Hartke
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This article introduces the Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling method Large Ensemble (GARD-LENS) dataset, comprised of daily precipitation, mean temperature, and temperature range over the Contiguous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii at 12-km, 4-km, and 1-km resolutions, respectively. GARD-LENS statistically downscales three CMIP6 global climate model large ensembles, CESM2, CanESM5, and EC-Earth3, totaling 200 ensemble members. GARD-LENS is the first downscaled SMILE (single model initial-condition large ensemble), providing information about the role of internal climate variability at high resolutions. The 150-year record of this large ensemble dataset provides ample data for assessing trends and extremes and allows users to robustly assess internal variability, forced climate signals, and time of emergence at high resolutions. As the need for high resolution, robust climate datasets continues to grow, GARD-LENS will be a valuable tool for scientists and practitioners who wish to account for internal variability in their future climate analyses and adaptation plans.
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spelling doaj-art-29abec6ce4894069a8939a67cd88da5c2025-08-20T02:31:37ZengNature PortfolioScientific Data2052-44632024-12-0111111510.1038/s41597-024-04205-zGARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertaintiesSamantha H. Hartke0Andrew J. Newman1Ethan Gutmann2Rachel McCrary3Nicholas D. Lybarger4Flavio Lehner5National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Research Applications Lab (RAL)National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Research Applications Lab (RAL)National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Research Applications Lab (RAL)National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Research Applications Lab (RAL)National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Research Applications Lab (RAL)National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Climate and Global Dynamics (CGD)Abstract This article introduces the Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling method Large Ensemble (GARD-LENS) dataset, comprised of daily precipitation, mean temperature, and temperature range over the Contiguous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii at 12-km, 4-km, and 1-km resolutions, respectively. GARD-LENS statistically downscales three CMIP6 global climate model large ensembles, CESM2, CanESM5, and EC-Earth3, totaling 200 ensemble members. GARD-LENS is the first downscaled SMILE (single model initial-condition large ensemble), providing information about the role of internal climate variability at high resolutions. The 150-year record of this large ensemble dataset provides ample data for assessing trends and extremes and allows users to robustly assess internal variability, forced climate signals, and time of emergence at high resolutions. As the need for high resolution, robust climate datasets continues to grow, GARD-LENS will be a valuable tool for scientists and practitioners who wish to account for internal variability in their future climate analyses and adaptation plans.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04205-z
spellingShingle Samantha H. Hartke
Andrew J. Newman
Ethan Gutmann
Rachel McCrary
Nicholas D. Lybarger
Flavio Lehner
GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
Scientific Data
title GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
title_full GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
title_fullStr GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
title_short GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
title_sort gard lens a downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04205-z
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