Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background Several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have investigated the benefits of atrial fibrillation (AF) screening. However, since none have shown a significant reduction in stroke rates, the impact of screening on clinical outcomes remains uncertain.Materials and methods We conducted a sys...

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Main Authors: Ville Langén, Aleksi K. Winstén, K. E. Juhani Airaksinen, Konsta Teppo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Annals of Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2457522
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author Ville Langén
Aleksi K. Winstén
K. E. Juhani Airaksinen
Konsta Teppo
author_facet Ville Langén
Aleksi K. Winstén
K. E. Juhani Airaksinen
Konsta Teppo
author_sort Ville Langén
collection DOAJ
description Background Several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have investigated the benefits of atrial fibrillation (AF) screening. However, since none have shown a significant reduction in stroke rates, the impact of screening on clinical outcomes remains uncertain.Materials and methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs reporting clinical outcomes of systematic AF screening in participants without known AF. Pooled risk ratios (RRs) were computed for all-cause stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality, comparing screening with no screening.Results Seven RCTs encompassing 76 458 participants were identified. One trial utilized implantable loop recorders for rhythm monitoring, while the others employed non-invasive screening methods. Pooled results indicated that AF screening was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause stroke or systemic embolism (RR 0.932, 95% CI 0.873–0.996, I2 = 0%, p = 0.037), but had no effect on major bleeding (RR 0.996, 95% CI 0.935–1.060, I2 = 0%, p = 0.876) or all-cause mortality (RR 0.987, 95% CI 0.945–1.031, I2 = 0%, p = 0.550). We estimated a number needed to screen of 148 to prevent one stroke or systemic embolism over a 10-year period in a population of 75-year-olds. When only non-invasive screening methods were considered, the reduction in strokes was not statistically significant (RR 0.942, 95% CI 0.880–1.008, I2 = 0%, p = 0.083).Conclusions Systematic AF screening is associated with a modest yet statistically significant 7% relative reduction in stroke and systemic embolism, with no observed impact on major bleeding or all-cause mortality.
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spelling doaj-art-2906afe0b312472e9825b6e4b7e8c55b2025-01-25T16:09:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAnnals of Medicine0785-38901365-20602025-12-0157110.1080/07853890.2025.2457522Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trialsVille Langén0Aleksi K. Winstén1K. E. Juhani Airaksinen2Konsta Teppo3Division of Medicine, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, FinlandFaculty of Medicine, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Turku, Turku, FinlandTurku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, FinlandHeart Centre, Turku University Hospital, Turku, FinlandBackground Several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have investigated the benefits of atrial fibrillation (AF) screening. However, since none have shown a significant reduction in stroke rates, the impact of screening on clinical outcomes remains uncertain.Materials and methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs reporting clinical outcomes of systematic AF screening in participants without known AF. Pooled risk ratios (RRs) were computed for all-cause stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality, comparing screening with no screening.Results Seven RCTs encompassing 76 458 participants were identified. One trial utilized implantable loop recorders for rhythm monitoring, while the others employed non-invasive screening methods. Pooled results indicated that AF screening was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause stroke or systemic embolism (RR 0.932, 95% CI 0.873–0.996, I2 = 0%, p = 0.037), but had no effect on major bleeding (RR 0.996, 95% CI 0.935–1.060, I2 = 0%, p = 0.876) or all-cause mortality (RR 0.987, 95% CI 0.945–1.031, I2 = 0%, p = 0.550). We estimated a number needed to screen of 148 to prevent one stroke or systemic embolism over a 10-year period in a population of 75-year-olds. When only non-invasive screening methods were considered, the reduction in strokes was not statistically significant (RR 0.942, 95% CI 0.880–1.008, I2 = 0%, p = 0.083).Conclusions Systematic AF screening is associated with a modest yet statistically significant 7% relative reduction in stroke and systemic embolism, with no observed impact on major bleeding or all-cause mortality.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2457522Atrial fibrillationscreeningoutcomesstrokebleedingmortality
spellingShingle Ville Langén
Aleksi K. Winstén
K. E. Juhani Airaksinen
Konsta Teppo
Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
Annals of Medicine
Atrial fibrillation
screening
outcomes
stroke
bleeding
mortality
title Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
title_full Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
title_fullStr Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
title_full_unstemmed Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
title_short Clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
title_sort clinical outcomes of atrial fibrillation screening a meta analysis of randomized controlled trials
topic Atrial fibrillation
screening
outcomes
stroke
bleeding
mortality
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2457522
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