A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases

Abstract An accurate estimation of upper atmospheric densities is crucial for precise orbit determination (POD), prediction of low Earth orbit satellites, and scientific studies of the Earth's atmosphere. But densities estimated using satellite tracking data are always uncertain up to the drag‐...

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Main Authors: Vishal Ray, Daniel J. Scheeres, Suood Alnaqbi, W. Kent Tobiska, Siamak G. Hesar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-03-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002972
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author Vishal Ray
Daniel J. Scheeres
Suood Alnaqbi
W. Kent Tobiska
Siamak G. Hesar
author_facet Vishal Ray
Daniel J. Scheeres
Suood Alnaqbi
W. Kent Tobiska
Siamak G. Hesar
author_sort Vishal Ray
collection DOAJ
description Abstract An accurate estimation of upper atmospheric densities is crucial for precise orbit determination (POD), prediction of low Earth orbit satellites, and scientific studies of the Earth's atmosphere. But densities estimated using satellite tracking data are always uncertain up to the drag‐coefficient assumed in the inversion method. This work develops a new framework to simultaneously estimate the density and drag‐coefficient for satellites with a time‐varying attitude. We do so by leveraging Fourier drag‐coefficient models, previously developed by the authors, and physical models of the drag‐coefficient. The method is tested with synthetic data for different geomagnetic activities, altitude levels, and errors in the gas‐surface interaction parameters. We report an improvement of up to 70% in density estimates for the simulations. Finally, POD data from Spire satellites are used for validation. An improvement of around 29% is obtained in the filter density estimates over NRLMSISE‐00 and 49% over JB2008 compared to the High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model densities.
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spelling doaj-art-28a95583a0df463b96c615729c00ec322025-01-14T16:30:57ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-03-01203n/an/a10.1029/2021SW002972A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient BiasesVishal Ray0Daniel J. Scheeres1Suood Alnaqbi2W. Kent Tobiska3Siamak G. Hesar4University of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USAUniversity of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USAUniversity of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USASpace Environment Technologies Pacific Palisades CA USAKayhan Space Boulder CO USAAbstract An accurate estimation of upper atmospheric densities is crucial for precise orbit determination (POD), prediction of low Earth orbit satellites, and scientific studies of the Earth's atmosphere. But densities estimated using satellite tracking data are always uncertain up to the drag‐coefficient assumed in the inversion method. This work develops a new framework to simultaneously estimate the density and drag‐coefficient for satellites with a time‐varying attitude. We do so by leveraging Fourier drag‐coefficient models, previously developed by the authors, and physical models of the drag‐coefficient. The method is tested with synthetic data for different geomagnetic activities, altitude levels, and errors in the gas‐surface interaction parameters. We report an improvement of up to 70% in density estimates for the simulations. Finally, POD data from Spire satellites are used for validation. An improvement of around 29% is obtained in the filter density estimates over NRLMSISE‐00 and 49% over JB2008 compared to the High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model densities.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002972atmospheric densitydrag‐coefficientHASDMestimationorbit determinationatmospheric drag
spellingShingle Vishal Ray
Daniel J. Scheeres
Suood Alnaqbi
W. Kent Tobiska
Siamak G. Hesar
A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
Space Weather
atmospheric density
drag‐coefficient
HASDM
estimation
orbit determination
atmospheric drag
title A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
title_full A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
title_fullStr A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
title_full_unstemmed A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
title_short A Framework to Estimate Local Atmospheric Densities With Reduced Drag‐Coefficient Biases
title_sort framework to estimate local atmospheric densities with reduced drag coefficient biases
topic atmospheric density
drag‐coefficient
HASDM
estimation
orbit determination
atmospheric drag
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002972
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