The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis
Background: Vascular intestinal disease is a major health concern that often requires emergency surgery in patients with intestinal obstruction, perforation, or bowel necrosis. We aimed to provide data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of vascular int...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Komiyama Printing Co. Ltd
2024-12-01
|
| Series: | Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ehpm/29/0/29_24-00206/_html/-char/en |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850251877053104128 |
|---|---|
| author | Xiqiang Zhang Longchao Wu Yu Li Ze Tao Na Li Haoyang Zhang Ming Ren Kexin Wang |
| author_facet | Xiqiang Zhang Longchao Wu Yu Li Ze Tao Na Li Haoyang Zhang Ming Ren Kexin Wang |
| author_sort | Xiqiang Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: Vascular intestinal disease is a major health concern that often requires emergency surgery in patients with intestinal obstruction, perforation, or bowel necrosis. We aimed to provide data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of vascular intestinal diseases from 1990 to 2021, thereby contributing to the development of health policies. Methods: Using standardized methods from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of vascular intestinal disease from the perspectives of the sociodemographic index (SDI), regional, and country, along with the corresponding estimated annual percentage changes. Additionally, we used join-point regression to identify the key time points for disease burden changes. Results: In 2021, a total of 169,432 cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 155,127–185,189] of vascular intestinal disease were identified worldwide. The age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 18.81 (95% UI: 16.07–21.73) in 1990 to 15.98 (95% UI: 13.99–19.10) in 2021. In 2021, the age-standardized mortality rate was 1.12/100,000 people (95% UI: 1.00–1.21). Over the 32-year period, the global DALYs rate declined by 1.44 (95% Confidence Interval: −1.55 to −1.34). Within the five SDI regions, the high-middle SDI areas recorded the peak standardized mortality rates in 2021. Regionally, the greatest increase in incidence occurred in North Africa and the Middle East. Canada recorded the greatest national incidence rate [58.35 (95% UI: 50.05–67.37)] in 2021 among 204 countries, while Russia exhibited the highest related mortality [5.64/100,000 people (95% UI: 5.19–6.11)] and DALYs rate [101.48/100,000 people (95% UI: 93.83–109.66)]. Conclusions: Despite a global decline in the burden of vascular intestinal disease from 1990 to 2021, significant regional and national disparities persist and the disease burden among the elderly has increased. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-289ed9023bba4a30a2ea7e5b8b356028 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1342-078X 1347-4715 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Komiyama Printing Co. Ltd |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine |
| spelling | doaj-art-289ed9023bba4a30a2ea7e5b8b3560282025-08-20T01:57:48ZengKomiyama Printing Co. LtdEnvironmental Health and Preventive Medicine1342-078X1347-47152024-12-0129717110.1265/ehpm.24-00206ehpmThe global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysisXiqiang Zhang0Longchao Wu1Yu Li2Ze Tao3Na Li4Haoyang Zhang5Ming Ren6Kexin Wang7The First Clinical College, Shandong UniversityThe First Clinical College, Shandong UniversityDepartment of General Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong UniversityThe First Clinical College, Shandong UniversityDepartment of General Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong UniversityThe First Clinical College, Shandong UniversityThe First Clinical College, Shandong UniversityDepartment of General Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong UniversityBackground: Vascular intestinal disease is a major health concern that often requires emergency surgery in patients with intestinal obstruction, perforation, or bowel necrosis. We aimed to provide data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of vascular intestinal diseases from 1990 to 2021, thereby contributing to the development of health policies. Methods: Using standardized methods from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of vascular intestinal disease from the perspectives of the sociodemographic index (SDI), regional, and country, along with the corresponding estimated annual percentage changes. Additionally, we used join-point regression to identify the key time points for disease burden changes. Results: In 2021, a total of 169,432 cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 155,127–185,189] of vascular intestinal disease were identified worldwide. The age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 18.81 (95% UI: 16.07–21.73) in 1990 to 15.98 (95% UI: 13.99–19.10) in 2021. In 2021, the age-standardized mortality rate was 1.12/100,000 people (95% UI: 1.00–1.21). Over the 32-year period, the global DALYs rate declined by 1.44 (95% Confidence Interval: −1.55 to −1.34). Within the five SDI regions, the high-middle SDI areas recorded the peak standardized mortality rates in 2021. Regionally, the greatest increase in incidence occurred in North Africa and the Middle East. Canada recorded the greatest national incidence rate [58.35 (95% UI: 50.05–67.37)] in 2021 among 204 countries, while Russia exhibited the highest related mortality [5.64/100,000 people (95% UI: 5.19–6.11)] and DALYs rate [101.48/100,000 people (95% UI: 93.83–109.66)]. Conclusions: Despite a global decline in the burden of vascular intestinal disease from 1990 to 2021, significant regional and national disparities persist and the disease burden among the elderly has increased.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ehpm/29/0/29_24-00206/_html/-char/englobal burden of diseasevascular intestinal diseaseestimated annual percentage changeaverage annual percentage changesocio-demographic index |
| spellingShingle | Xiqiang Zhang Longchao Wu Yu Li Ze Tao Na Li Haoyang Zhang Ming Ren Kexin Wang The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine global burden of disease vascular intestinal disease estimated annual percentage change average annual percentage change socio-demographic index |
| title | The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis |
| title_full | The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis |
| title_fullStr | The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis |
| title_short | The global burden of vascular intestinal diseases: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and projections using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis |
| title_sort | global burden of vascular intestinal diseases results from the 2021 global burden of disease study and projections using bayesian age period cohort analysis |
| topic | global burden of disease vascular intestinal disease estimated annual percentage change average annual percentage change socio-demographic index |
| url | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ehpm/29/0/29_24-00206/_html/-char/en |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT xiqiangzhang theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT longchaowu theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT yuli theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT zetao theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT nali theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT haoyangzhang theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT mingren theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT kexinwang theglobalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT xiqiangzhang globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT longchaowu globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT yuli globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT zetao globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT nali globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT haoyangzhang globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT mingren globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis AT kexinwang globalburdenofvascularintestinaldiseasesresultsfromthe2021globalburdenofdiseasestudyandprojectionsusingbayesianageperiodcohortanalysis |