Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction

With the rapid development of data analytics in sports, it is vital to use machine learning methods to make decisions and predictions. This study focuses on predicting NBA playoff qualifications using machine learning techniques. By utilizing team-level statistics from 1947 to 2024, the paper implem...

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Main Author: Yeung Manho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:ITM Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/01/itmconf_dai2024_04024.pdf
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author Yeung Manho
author_facet Yeung Manho
author_sort Yeung Manho
collection DOAJ
description With the rapid development of data analytics in sports, it is vital to use machine learning methods to make decisions and predictions. This study focuses on predicting NBA playoff qualifications using machine learning techniques. By utilizing team-level statistics from 1947 to 2024, the paper implemented models such as Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and Elastic Net Regression. The data was preprocessed by scaling, centering, and handling missing values, followed by rigorous 5-fold cross-validation to ensure robust evaluation. Among the models, Random Forest outperformed the others, achieving the highest ROC-AUC score of 0.841. Its ensemble approach allowed for the effective capture of complex feature interactions, making it the most accurate model for predicting whether a team would qualify for the playoffs based on team performance. The research demonstrates the power of machine learning in improving prediction accuracy, providing insights for future sports analytics, and offering a foundation for integrating more complex data like player metrics or strategic factors. This work contributes to advancing predictive modeling in sports.
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spelling doaj-art-288fd6802fa74d58852ec20d0a8e912d2025-02-07T08:21:11ZengEDP SciencesITM Web of Conferences2271-20972025-01-01700402410.1051/itmconf/20257004024itmconf_dai2024_04024Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs PredictionYeung Manho0Statistics and Data Science, University of California Santa BarbaraWith the rapid development of data analytics in sports, it is vital to use machine learning methods to make decisions and predictions. This study focuses on predicting NBA playoff qualifications using machine learning techniques. By utilizing team-level statistics from 1947 to 2024, the paper implemented models such as Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and Elastic Net Regression. The data was preprocessed by scaling, centering, and handling missing values, followed by rigorous 5-fold cross-validation to ensure robust evaluation. Among the models, Random Forest outperformed the others, achieving the highest ROC-AUC score of 0.841. Its ensemble approach allowed for the effective capture of complex feature interactions, making it the most accurate model for predicting whether a team would qualify for the playoffs based on team performance. The research demonstrates the power of machine learning in improving prediction accuracy, providing insights for future sports analytics, and offering a foundation for integrating more complex data like player metrics or strategic factors. This work contributes to advancing predictive modeling in sports.https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/01/itmconf_dai2024_04024.pdf
spellingShingle Yeung Manho
Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
ITM Web of Conferences
title Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
title_full Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
title_fullStr Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
title_short Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms-based NBA Team Playoffs Prediction
title_sort multiple machine learning algorithms based nba team playoffs prediction
url https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/01/itmconf_dai2024_04024.pdf
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