A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming

Abstract In the context of global warming, understanding changes in the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) is of great importance, because of its worldwide impact on surface weather and climate. By analyzing the temporal evolution of the phase relationship between Kelvin waves and the MJO, we find a se...

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Main Authors: Yu Huang, Zuntao Fu, Christian L. E. Franzke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-10-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095400
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author Yu Huang
Zuntao Fu
Christian L. E. Franzke
author_facet Yu Huang
Zuntao Fu
Christian L. E. Franzke
author_sort Yu Huang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In the context of global warming, understanding changes in the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) is of great importance, because of its worldwide impact on surface weather and climate. By analyzing the temporal evolution of the phase relationship between Kelvin waves and the MJO, we find a secular phase shift of the MJO after year 2000, at which the MJO exhibits an eastward extension over the Maritime Continent and the Western Pacific Ocean. Further, we examine the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) variations on the anomalous convection and Kelvin waves, and demonstrate that the recent warming trend of the Western Pacific SST is a factor causing the changes of the MJO over this region. The results deepen our understanding of recent modeling and observational studies about the changes of the MJO and confirm the enhanced activity of the MJO over the past few decades.
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publishDate 2021-10-01
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-280a0d48a24547e3bf0c4ba8d5d835ac2025-08-20T03:22:14ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072021-10-014820n/an/a10.1029/2021GL095400A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean WarmingYu Huang0Zuntao Fu1Christian L. E. Franzke2Laboratory for Climate and Ocean‐Atmosphere Studies Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences School of Physics Peking University Beijing ChinaLaboratory for Climate and Ocean‐Atmosphere Studies Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences School of Physics Peking University Beijing ChinaCenter for Climate Physics Institute for Basic Science Busan Republic of KoreaAbstract In the context of global warming, understanding changes in the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) is of great importance, because of its worldwide impact on surface weather and climate. By analyzing the temporal evolution of the phase relationship between Kelvin waves and the MJO, we find a secular phase shift of the MJO after year 2000, at which the MJO exhibits an eastward extension over the Maritime Continent and the Western Pacific Ocean. Further, we examine the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) variations on the anomalous convection and Kelvin waves, and demonstrate that the recent warming trend of the Western Pacific SST is a factor causing the changes of the MJO over this region. The results deepen our understanding of recent modeling and observational studies about the changes of the MJO and confirm the enhanced activity of the MJO over the past few decades.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095400Madden‐Julian Oscillationsecular trendglobal warmingatmosphere‐ocean interactionphase difference
spellingShingle Yu Huang
Zuntao Fu
Christian L. E. Franzke
A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
Geophysical Research Letters
Madden‐Julian Oscillation
secular trend
global warming
atmosphere‐ocean interaction
phase difference
title A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
title_full A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
title_fullStr A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
title_full_unstemmed A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
title_short A Secular Shift of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Its Relation to Western Pacific Ocean Warming
title_sort secular shift of the madden julian oscillation and its relation to western pacific ocean warming
topic Madden‐Julian Oscillation
secular trend
global warming
atmosphere‐ocean interaction
phase difference
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095400
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