Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis

A finite mixture of logistic regression model (FMLR) was applied to analyze the heterogeneity within the merging driver population. This model can automatically provide useful hidden information about the characteristics of the driver population. EM algorithm and Newton-Raphson algorithm were used t...

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Main Author: Gen Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1436521
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author Gen Li
author_facet Gen Li
author_sort Gen Li
collection DOAJ
description A finite mixture of logistic regression model (FMLR) was applied to analyze the heterogeneity within the merging driver population. This model can automatically provide useful hidden information about the characteristics of the driver population. EM algorithm and Newton-Raphson algorithm were used to estimate the parameters. To accomplish the objective of this study, the FMLR model was applied to a trajectory dataset extracted from the NGSIM dataset and a 2-component FMLR model was identified. The important findings can be summarized as follows: The studied drivers can be classified into two components. One is called Risk-Rejecting Drivers. These drivers are consistent with previous studies and primarily merge in as soon as possible and have a distinct preference for the large gaps. The other is the Risk-Taking Drivers that are much less sensitive to the gap size and pay more attention to surrounding traffic conditions such as the speed of front vehicle in the auxiliary lane and lead space gap between the merging vehicle and its leading vehicles in the auxiliary lane. Risk-Taking Drivers use the auxiliary lane to get to the further downstream or less congested area of the main lane. The proposed model can also produce more precise predicting accuracy than logistic regression model.
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spelling doaj-art-27e01edc13644fe7a9e0909db55be5a02025-08-20T02:04:19ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/14365211436521Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior AnalysisGen Li0School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaA finite mixture of logistic regression model (FMLR) was applied to analyze the heterogeneity within the merging driver population. This model can automatically provide useful hidden information about the characteristics of the driver population. EM algorithm and Newton-Raphson algorithm were used to estimate the parameters. To accomplish the objective of this study, the FMLR model was applied to a trajectory dataset extracted from the NGSIM dataset and a 2-component FMLR model was identified. The important findings can be summarized as follows: The studied drivers can be classified into two components. One is called Risk-Rejecting Drivers. These drivers are consistent with previous studies and primarily merge in as soon as possible and have a distinct preference for the large gaps. The other is the Risk-Taking Drivers that are much less sensitive to the gap size and pay more attention to surrounding traffic conditions such as the speed of front vehicle in the auxiliary lane and lead space gap between the merging vehicle and its leading vehicles in the auxiliary lane. Risk-Taking Drivers use the auxiliary lane to get to the further downstream or less congested area of the main lane. The proposed model can also produce more precise predicting accuracy than logistic regression model.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1436521
spellingShingle Gen Li
Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
title_full Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
title_fullStr Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
title_short Application of Finite Mixture of Logistic Regression for Heterogeneous Merging Behavior Analysis
title_sort application of finite mixture of logistic regression for heterogeneous merging behavior analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1436521
work_keys_str_mv AT genli applicationoffinitemixtureoflogisticregressionforheterogeneousmergingbehavioranalysis