Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing

This study extends the linear inverse modeling (LIM) framework to nonlinear settings by presenting White-nLIM and Colored-nLIM, statistics-based empirical methods that construct approximate stochastic systems incorporating quadratic deterministic dynamics with either memoryless Gaussian white noise...

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Main Authors: Justin Lien, Hiroyasu Ando
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Physical Society 2025-08-01
Series:Physical Review Research
Online Access:http://doi.org/10.1103/ds1j-fx3v
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author Justin Lien
Hiroyasu Ando
author_facet Justin Lien
Hiroyasu Ando
author_sort Justin Lien
collection DOAJ
description This study extends the linear inverse modeling (LIM) framework to nonlinear settings by presenting White-nLIM and Colored-nLIM, statistics-based empirical methods that construct approximate stochastic systems incorporating quadratic deterministic dynamics with either memoryless Gaussian white noise or persistent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise. Beyond the evident improvements over linear models, Colored-nLIM offers a robust approach to parameter estimation and statistical modeling under persistent stochastic forcing. Together with White-nLIM, these methods provide a systematic framework to assess the role of noise persistence in inverse modeling. Applications to the Lorenz 63 system and a simplified El Niño-Southern Oscillation model demonstrate their potential to capture chaotic behavior and climate variability.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-08-01
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spelling doaj-art-27df3d8ae16c45fbb11a588c8b57b1e42025-08-20T16:35:06ZengAmerican Physical SocietyPhysical Review Research2643-15642025-08-0173L03203810.1103/ds1j-fx3vNonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcingJustin LienHiroyasu AndoThis study extends the linear inverse modeling (LIM) framework to nonlinear settings by presenting White-nLIM and Colored-nLIM, statistics-based empirical methods that construct approximate stochastic systems incorporating quadratic deterministic dynamics with either memoryless Gaussian white noise or persistent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise. Beyond the evident improvements over linear models, Colored-nLIM offers a robust approach to parameter estimation and statistical modeling under persistent stochastic forcing. Together with White-nLIM, these methods provide a systematic framework to assess the role of noise persistence in inverse modeling. Applications to the Lorenz 63 system and a simplified El Niño-Southern Oscillation model demonstrate their potential to capture chaotic behavior and climate variability.http://doi.org/10.1103/ds1j-fx3v
spellingShingle Justin Lien
Hiroyasu Ando
Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
Physical Review Research
title Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
title_full Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
title_fullStr Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
title_short Nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
title_sort nonlinear extensions of linear inverse models under memoryless or persistent random forcing
url http://doi.org/10.1103/ds1j-fx3v
work_keys_str_mv AT justinlien nonlinearextensionsoflinearinversemodelsundermemorylessorpersistentrandomforcing
AT hiroyasuando nonlinearextensionsoflinearinversemodelsundermemorylessorpersistentrandomforcing