No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions

Unmanned aircraft systems (UASs) have experienced a notable surge in applications, particularly with the increasing deployment of vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) vehicles in urban environments, which are more flexible in comparison to traditional aircraft. Nevertheless, the advantages of using...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Manuel Lombardi, David Sladek, Francesco Simone, Riccardo Patriarca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225000284
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1825206853116624896
author Manuel Lombardi
David Sladek
Francesco Simone
Riccardo Patriarca
author_facet Manuel Lombardi
David Sladek
Francesco Simone
Riccardo Patriarca
author_sort Manuel Lombardi
collection DOAJ
description Unmanned aircraft systems (UASs) have experienced a notable surge in applications, particularly with the increasing deployment of vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) vehicles in urban environments, which are more flexible in comparison to traditional aircraft. Nevertheless, the advantages of using VTOLs come with an increase in operational risks, too. Although there are approaches to support the fulfillment of safety objectives for VTOL operations, none of them specifically consider the type of weather information needed to guide decision-making successfully. Having detailed weather forecasts within operational areas can help avoid unwanted outcomes while assuring safe operations and mission success. On this basis, this paper proposes an innovative methodology to support decision-making in VTOLs missions, emphasizing the importance of weather forecasting practices. The decision support methodology presented in this study involves four phases, which consider different timespans (i.e., from more than two weeks before up to two hours before the mission), eventually assessing dedicated feasibility indexes. A case study is proposed to show how the methodology could be implemented into a decision support system with the objective of guiding VTOL decision makers in identifying the most suitable vehicle to ensure successful operations in various contexts from innovative air mobility solutions towards industrial inspection practices.
format Article
id doaj-art-2719eb24c3a142ccb7fccb537bc54385
institution Kabale University
issn 2590-1982
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
spelling doaj-art-2719eb24c3a142ccb7fccb537bc543852025-02-07T04:48:16ZengElsevierTransportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives2590-19822025-03-0130101349No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisionsManuel Lombardi0David Sladek1Francesco Simone2Riccardo Patriarca3Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Eudossiana, 18 00184 Rome, Italy; Corresponding author.Department of Military Geography and Meteorology, Faculty of Military Technology, University of Defence, Brno 662 10 Czech RepublicDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Eudossiana, 18 00184 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Eudossiana, 18 00184 Rome, ItalyUnmanned aircraft systems (UASs) have experienced a notable surge in applications, particularly with the increasing deployment of vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) vehicles in urban environments, which are more flexible in comparison to traditional aircraft. Nevertheless, the advantages of using VTOLs come with an increase in operational risks, too. Although there are approaches to support the fulfillment of safety objectives for VTOL operations, none of them specifically consider the type of weather information needed to guide decision-making successfully. Having detailed weather forecasts within operational areas can help avoid unwanted outcomes while assuring safe operations and mission success. On this basis, this paper proposes an innovative methodology to support decision-making in VTOLs missions, emphasizing the importance of weather forecasting practices. The decision support methodology presented in this study involves four phases, which consider different timespans (i.e., from more than two weeks before up to two hours before the mission), eventually assessing dedicated feasibility indexes. A case study is proposed to show how the methodology could be implemented into a decision support system with the objective of guiding VTOL decision makers in identifying the most suitable vehicle to ensure successful operations in various contexts from innovative air mobility solutions towards industrial inspection practices.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225000284Unmanned operationsPerformance indicatorsRisk managementOperations managementMachine learning
spellingShingle Manuel Lombardi
David Sladek
Francesco Simone
Riccardo Patriarca
No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Unmanned operations
Performance indicators
Risk management
Operations management
Machine learning
title No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
title_full No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
title_fullStr No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
title_full_unstemmed No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
title_short No more flying blind: Leveraging weather forecasting for clear-cut risk-based decisions
title_sort no more flying blind leveraging weather forecasting for clear cut risk based decisions
topic Unmanned operations
Performance indicators
Risk management
Operations management
Machine learning
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590198225000284
work_keys_str_mv AT manuellombardi nomoreflyingblindleveragingweatherforecastingforclearcutriskbaseddecisions
AT davidsladek nomoreflyingblindleveragingweatherforecastingforclearcutriskbaseddecisions
AT francescosimone nomoreflyingblindleveragingweatherforecastingforclearcutriskbaseddecisions
AT riccardopatriarca nomoreflyingblindleveragingweatherforecastingforclearcutriskbaseddecisions