Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development

Renewable energy (RE) is gaining great attention nowadays, as opposed to traditional energy, such as fossil fuels, which have various negative impacts and issues. RE faces multiple risks and challenges, so these risks need to be evaluated and mitigated such as technical risks, environmental risks, s...

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Main Authors: Ibrahim Alrashdi, Ahmed M. Ali, Karam M. Sallam, Mohamed Abdel-Basset
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Energy Nexus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000129
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author Ibrahim Alrashdi
Ahmed M. Ali
Karam M. Sallam
Mohamed Abdel-Basset
author_facet Ibrahim Alrashdi
Ahmed M. Ali
Karam M. Sallam
Mohamed Abdel-Basset
author_sort Ibrahim Alrashdi
collection DOAJ
description Renewable energy (RE) is gaining great attention nowadays, as opposed to traditional energy, such as fossil fuels, which have various negative impacts and issues. RE faces multiple risks and challenges, so these risks need to be evaluated and mitigated such as technical risks, environmental risks, security risks, policy risks, and technological risks. This study proposed a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method for assessing RE risks. The MCDM method is integrated with neutrosophic sets (NSs) to deal with inconsistent data in the evaluation process. Two MCDM methods are used in this study: Entropy and Ranking of Alternatives with Weights of Criterion (RAWEC). The neutrosophic entropy is used to compute the criteria weight, and the neutrosophic RAWEC method ranks the alternatives. This study applied the proposed method to two case studies. In the first case study, the RE risks are ranked. In the second case study, various strategies are proposed by blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), big data, and zero-trust to reduce RE risks. There are six main factors; 31 sub-factors and 19 risks are used in the first case study, and 19 factors and 20 strategies are used in the second case study. The sensitivity analysis was conducted to show the stability of the rank. The proposed methodology was compared with MCDM methods such as neutrosophic TOPSIS, neutrosophic VIKOR, and fuzzy CoCoSo. The results show various proposed strategies can reduce RE risks.
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spelling doaj-art-26db122a644b47e39ce94a3fb04b258d2025-08-20T01:49:31ZengElsevierEnergy Nexus2772-42712025-03-011710037110.1016/j.nexus.2025.100371Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy developmentIbrahim Alrashdi0Ahmed M. Ali1Karam M. Sallam2Mohamed Abdel-Basset3Department of Computer Science, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Jouf University, Sakaka 72388, Saudi Arabia; Corresponding author.Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Sharqiyah 44519, EgyptDepartment of Computer Science, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab EmiratesFaculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Sharqiyah 44519, EgyptRenewable energy (RE) is gaining great attention nowadays, as opposed to traditional energy, such as fossil fuels, which have various negative impacts and issues. RE faces multiple risks and challenges, so these risks need to be evaluated and mitigated such as technical risks, environmental risks, security risks, policy risks, and technological risks. This study proposed a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method for assessing RE risks. The MCDM method is integrated with neutrosophic sets (NSs) to deal with inconsistent data in the evaluation process. Two MCDM methods are used in this study: Entropy and Ranking of Alternatives with Weights of Criterion (RAWEC). The neutrosophic entropy is used to compute the criteria weight, and the neutrosophic RAWEC method ranks the alternatives. This study applied the proposed method to two case studies. In the first case study, the RE risks are ranked. In the second case study, various strategies are proposed by blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), big data, and zero-trust to reduce RE risks. There are six main factors; 31 sub-factors and 19 risks are used in the first case study, and 19 factors and 20 strategies are used in the second case study. The sensitivity analysis was conducted to show the stability of the rank. The proposed methodology was compared with MCDM methods such as neutrosophic TOPSIS, neutrosophic VIKOR, and fuzzy CoCoSo. The results show various proposed strategies can reduce RE risks.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000129SustainabilityRenewable energyArtificial intelligenceRisksInnovation technologiesmulti-criteria decision making
spellingShingle Ibrahim Alrashdi
Ahmed M. Ali
Karam M. Sallam
Mohamed Abdel-Basset
Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
Energy Nexus
Sustainability
Renewable energy
Artificial intelligence
Risks
Innovation technologies
multi-criteria decision making
title Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
title_full Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
title_fullStr Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
title_full_unstemmed Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
title_short Assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty: The impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
title_sort assessment and analysis of development risks under uncertainty the impact of disruptive technologies on renewable energy development
topic Sustainability
Renewable energy
Artificial intelligence
Risks
Innovation technologies
multi-criteria decision making
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000129
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AT karammsallam assessmentandanalysisofdevelopmentrisksunderuncertaintytheimpactofdisruptivetechnologiesonrenewableenergydevelopment
AT mohamedabdelbasset assessmentandanalysisofdevelopmentrisksunderuncertaintytheimpactofdisruptivetechnologiesonrenewableenergydevelopment