Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking

This study presents the results of a survey on flood risk awareness conducted in the Italian Alps, examining the impacts of a major weather event on public perception and trust. It develops a systems-thinking framework to analyse dynamic feedback loops influencing flood risk management support over...

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Main Authors: Rocco Scolozzi, Anna Scolobig, Marco Borga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Geographies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7086/5/1/3
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author Rocco Scolozzi
Anna Scolobig
Marco Borga
author_facet Rocco Scolozzi
Anna Scolobig
Marco Borga
author_sort Rocco Scolozzi
collection DOAJ
description This study presents the results of a survey on flood risk awareness conducted in the Italian Alps, examining the impacts of a major weather event on public perception and trust. It develops a systems-thinking framework to analyse dynamic feedback loops influencing flood risk management support over time. The survey data collection overlapped with a severe storm event in Central Europe, the storm “Adrian” (also known as “Vaia”). This provided a unique pre- and post-event perspective. Results highlight the critical role of individual knowledge, trust in authorities, and social group dynamics in shaping risk perception processes. The study shows how major weather events can change perceptions, sense of safety, and institutional trust within local communities, and more interestingly, these changes can vary spatially. The findings are summarised using a systems-thinking framework, which helps to identify possible feedback loops between flood risk management interventions and long-term public support. The study emphasizes the importance of forward-looking, systems-thinking approaches in the design, monitoring, and evaluation of flood risk management plans. These approaches allow one to account for often-overlooked dynamics, such as spatially varying feedback loops and counter-intuitive effects, ultimately improving the long-term effectiveness of flood risk management.
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spelling doaj-art-26cec6ce1a6f4e11a9b58c9d07b692712025-08-20T02:11:23ZengMDPI AGGeographies2673-70862025-01-0151310.3390/geographies5010003Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems ThinkingRocco Scolozzi0Anna Scolobig1Marco Borga2Department of Sociology and Social Research, University of Trento, 38122 Trento, ItalyEquity and Justice Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361 Laxenburg, AustriaDepartment of Land Environment Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, 35122 Padova, ItalyThis study presents the results of a survey on flood risk awareness conducted in the Italian Alps, examining the impacts of a major weather event on public perception and trust. It develops a systems-thinking framework to analyse dynamic feedback loops influencing flood risk management support over time. The survey data collection overlapped with a severe storm event in Central Europe, the storm “Adrian” (also known as “Vaia”). This provided a unique pre- and post-event perspective. Results highlight the critical role of individual knowledge, trust in authorities, and social group dynamics in shaping risk perception processes. The study shows how major weather events can change perceptions, sense of safety, and institutional trust within local communities, and more interestingly, these changes can vary spatially. The findings are summarised using a systems-thinking framework, which helps to identify possible feedback loops between flood risk management interventions and long-term public support. The study emphasizes the importance of forward-looking, systems-thinking approaches in the design, monitoring, and evaluation of flood risk management plans. These approaches allow one to account for often-overlooked dynamics, such as spatially varying feedback loops and counter-intuitive effects, ultimately improving the long-term effectiveness of flood risk management.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7086/5/1/3flood risk managementrisk perceptionsystems thinkingclimate change adaptationcommunity resiliencesocio-hydrology
spellingShingle Rocco Scolozzi
Anna Scolobig
Marco Borga
Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
Geographies
flood risk management
risk perception
systems thinking
climate change adaptation
community resilience
socio-hydrology
title Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
title_full Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
title_fullStr Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
title_full_unstemmed Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
title_short Public Support for Flood Risk Management: Insights from an Italian Alpine Survey Using Systems Thinking
title_sort public support for flood risk management insights from an italian alpine survey using systems thinking
topic flood risk management
risk perception
systems thinking
climate change adaptation
community resilience
socio-hydrology
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7086/5/1/3
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AT annascolobig publicsupportforfloodriskmanagementinsightsfromanitalianalpinesurveyusingsystemsthinking
AT marcoborga publicsupportforfloodriskmanagementinsightsfromanitalianalpinesurveyusingsystemsthinking