Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system

Our revisit of fundamental issues of climate challenges the notion and term of the “greenhouse effect”, and attempts a scientific reevaluation using minimal assumptions, such as Newton’s laws, maximum entropy and gas spectroscopy. It replaces terms like “greenhouse gas” with “radiatively active gas”...

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Main Authors: Demetris Koutsoyiannis, George Tsakalias
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Complex Systems
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcpxs.2025.1617092/full
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author Demetris Koutsoyiannis
George Tsakalias
author_facet Demetris Koutsoyiannis
George Tsakalias
author_sort Demetris Koutsoyiannis
collection DOAJ
description Our revisit of fundamental issues of climate challenges the notion and term of the “greenhouse effect”, and attempts a scientific reevaluation using minimal assumptions, such as Newton’s laws, maximum entropy and gas spectroscopy. It replaces terms like “greenhouse gas” with “radiatively active gas” (RAG) and “greenhouse effect” with “atmospheric radiative effect” (ARE). While ARE exists in several planets’ atmospheres, on Earth it is primarily driven by water vapor and clouds, with CO2 playing a minor role (especially anthropogenic CO2 which represents 4% of total emissions). Equilibrium thermodynamics, via entropy maximization or molecular collision simulation, leads to an isothermal atmosphere at about 250 K (the average temperature of the troposphere and stratosphere) irrespective of RAG presence or not. It is the troposphere’s 6.5 K/km temperature gradient (lapse rate), partly shaped by moist adiabatic processes, that drives the atmosphere away from this equilibrium and warms the surface to about 288 K on average, with ARE (mainly water vapor and clouds) contributing to the warming, but only when this gradient exists. The temperature gradient varies spatially and temporally and, since 1950, has weakened in the tropics and grown in the polar areas, resulting in a decrease of the surface equator-to-pole gradient, as expected in global warming conditions.
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spelling doaj-art-2655b3d3ec2f49cba2716763a50ba15a2025-08-20T04:03:17ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Complex Systems2813-61872025-08-01310.3389/fcpxs.2025.16170921617092Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic systemDemetris KoutsoyiannisGeorge TsakaliasOur revisit of fundamental issues of climate challenges the notion and term of the “greenhouse effect”, and attempts a scientific reevaluation using minimal assumptions, such as Newton’s laws, maximum entropy and gas spectroscopy. It replaces terms like “greenhouse gas” with “radiatively active gas” (RAG) and “greenhouse effect” with “atmospheric radiative effect” (ARE). While ARE exists in several planets’ atmospheres, on Earth it is primarily driven by water vapor and clouds, with CO2 playing a minor role (especially anthropogenic CO2 which represents 4% of total emissions). Equilibrium thermodynamics, via entropy maximization or molecular collision simulation, leads to an isothermal atmosphere at about 250 K (the average temperature of the troposphere and stratosphere) irrespective of RAG presence or not. It is the troposphere’s 6.5 K/km temperature gradient (lapse rate), partly shaped by moist adiabatic processes, that drives the atmosphere away from this equilibrium and warms the surface to about 288 K on average, with ARE (mainly water vapor and clouds) contributing to the warming, but only when this gradient exists. The temperature gradient varies spatially and temporally and, since 1950, has weakened in the tropics and grown in the polar areas, resulting in a decrease of the surface equator-to-pole gradient, as expected in global warming conditions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcpxs.2025.1617092/fullclimateclimatic systematmospherethermodynamicsgreenhouse
spellingShingle Demetris Koutsoyiannis
George Tsakalias
Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
Frontiers in Complex Systems
climate
climatic system
atmosphere
thermodynamics
greenhouse
title Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
title_full Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
title_fullStr Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
title_full_unstemmed Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
title_short Unsettling the settled: simple musings on the complex climatic system
title_sort unsettling the settled simple musings on the complex climatic system
topic climate
climatic system
atmosphere
thermodynamics
greenhouse
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcpxs.2025.1617092/full
work_keys_str_mv AT demetriskoutsoyiannis unsettlingthesettledsimplemusingsonthecomplexclimaticsystem
AT georgetsakalias unsettlingthesettledsimplemusingsonthecomplexclimaticsystem