Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region

Shipping activities continue to experience growth across a multitude of industrial sectors within the Arctic, hence there are risks in terms of severity and likelihood of accidents. The Arctic region is inherently dangerous to transportation and human existence due to its extreme climate and environ...

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Main Authors: Ashraf Labib, Dylan Jones, Natalia Andreassen, Rune Elvegård, Mikel Dominguez Cainzos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/782
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author Ashraf Labib
Dylan Jones
Natalia Andreassen
Rune Elvegård
Mikel Dominguez Cainzos
author_facet Ashraf Labib
Dylan Jones
Natalia Andreassen
Rune Elvegård
Mikel Dominguez Cainzos
author_sort Ashraf Labib
collection DOAJ
description Shipping activities continue to experience growth across a multitude of industrial sectors within the Arctic, hence there are risks in terms of severity and likelihood of accidents. The Arctic region is inherently dangerous to transportation and human existence due to its extreme climate and environmental conditions, and hence the complexities associated with emergency situations within the maritime domain are amplified when operating within the Arctic and North-Atlantic (ANA). The definition and characterisation of potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region are significant enablers in providing a set of critical and sustainable tools for Search and Rescue (SAR), Oil Spill Response (OSR), and emergency management practitioners. Therefore, in this paper we aim to identify and characterise high-priority potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region such as cruise ship accidents, oil leaks, radiological leaks, and fishing boat groundings. These were compiled as an outcome of a set of workshops carried out as part of the ARCSAR, EU Horizon 2020 funded project, and from analysis of the literature. We also provide root cause analysis techniques, tools for strategic decision-making, and means of mitigation. We demonstrate how such tools can be used by applying some of them to a selective case study and drawing lessons learned from the application of root cause analysis, which can help emergency response organisations with preparedness work and hence more efficient response. In doing so, we provide a set of tools that can be used for strategic and operational learning. Such approaches can help standardise the definition and characterisation of potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region in both prospective and retrospective analysis.
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spelling doaj-art-256f77ff5227481980125e11b52e571a2025-01-24T13:20:48ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-01-0115278210.3390/app15020782Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA RegionAshraf Labib0Dylan Jones1Natalia Andreassen2Rune Elvegård3Mikel Dominguez Cainzos4School of Organisations, Systems and People, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth PO1 3DE, UKSchool of Mathematics and Physics, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth PO1 3DE, UKCentre for Crisis Management and Collaboration, Nord University Business School, 8049 Bodø, NorwayCentre for Crisis Management and Collaboration, Nord University Business School, 8049 Bodø, NorwayJoint Rescue Coordination Centre, 8001 Bodø, NorwayShipping activities continue to experience growth across a multitude of industrial sectors within the Arctic, hence there are risks in terms of severity and likelihood of accidents. The Arctic region is inherently dangerous to transportation and human existence due to its extreme climate and environmental conditions, and hence the complexities associated with emergency situations within the maritime domain are amplified when operating within the Arctic and North-Atlantic (ANA). The definition and characterisation of potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region are significant enablers in providing a set of critical and sustainable tools for Search and Rescue (SAR), Oil Spill Response (OSR), and emergency management practitioners. Therefore, in this paper we aim to identify and characterise high-priority potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region such as cruise ship accidents, oil leaks, radiological leaks, and fishing boat groundings. These were compiled as an outcome of a set of workshops carried out as part of the ARCSAR, EU Horizon 2020 funded project, and from analysis of the literature. We also provide root cause analysis techniques, tools for strategic decision-making, and means of mitigation. We demonstrate how such tools can be used by applying some of them to a selective case study and drawing lessons learned from the application of root cause analysis, which can help emergency response organisations with preparedness work and hence more efficient response. In doing so, we provide a set of tools that can be used for strategic and operational learning. Such approaches can help standardise the definition and characterisation of potential seaborne disasters and catastrophic incidents in the ANA region in both prospective and retrospective analysis.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/782risk and safetymaritime transportationroot cause analysis
spellingShingle Ashraf Labib
Dylan Jones
Natalia Andreassen
Rune Elvegård
Mikel Dominguez Cainzos
Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
Applied Sciences
risk and safety
maritime transportation
root cause analysis
title Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
title_full Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
title_fullStr Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
title_full_unstemmed Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
title_short Characterization and Modelling of Potential Seaborne Disasters, in the ANA Region
title_sort characterization and modelling of potential seaborne disasters in the ana region
topic risk and safety
maritime transportation
root cause analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/782
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