Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?

Abstract A total of 3.2 million people in Germany have been fully immunised so far. However, in order to achieve herd immunity, which is likely to require an immunisation rate of around 80 % due to the highly infectious mutants, approximately 65 million people need to be vaccinated. The current “imb...

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Main Authors: Dieter Cassel, Volker Ulrich
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2021-04-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-2895-4
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author Dieter Cassel
Volker Ulrich
author_facet Dieter Cassel
Volker Ulrich
author_sort Dieter Cassel
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A total of 3.2 million people in Germany have been fully immunised so far. However, in order to achieve herd immunity, which is likely to require an immunisation rate of around 80 % due to the highly infectious mutants, approximately 65 million people need to be vaccinated. The current “imbalance” in the vaccination campaign is largely due to the limited supply of vaccines. Since J&J’s vaccine has recently been approved by the EU and additional production facilities are available, it is foreseeable that the capacities of the vaccination centres will no longer be sufficient. Moreover, at some point the existing unwillingness to vaccinate could become the final bottleneck in reaching herd immunity. This paper provides some calculations for these relationships. Against this background, it is questionable how well-prepared the present system is to cope with these foreseeable problems.
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-242daccdcf7a400da5cb01b22af98d5d2025-02-02T02:00:52ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst0043-62751613-978X2021-04-01101427628310.1007/s10273-021-2895-4Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?Dieter Cassel0Volker Ulrich1Wirtschaftspolitik und Gesundheitsökonomie, Universität Duisburg-EssenRechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Universität BayreuthAbstract A total of 3.2 million people in Germany have been fully immunised so far. However, in order to achieve herd immunity, which is likely to require an immunisation rate of around 80 % due to the highly infectious mutants, approximately 65 million people need to be vaccinated. The current “imbalance” in the vaccination campaign is largely due to the limited supply of vaccines. Since J&J’s vaccine has recently been approved by the EU and additional production facilities are available, it is foreseeable that the capacities of the vaccination centres will no longer be sufficient. Moreover, at some point the existing unwillingness to vaccinate could become the final bottleneck in reaching herd immunity. This paper provides some calculations for these relationships. Against this background, it is questionable how well-prepared the present system is to cope with these foreseeable problems.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-2895-4
spellingShingle Dieter Cassel
Volker Ulrich
Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
title_full Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
title_fullStr Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
title_full_unstemmed Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
title_short Coronavirus Vaccines in Abundance — What Then?
title_sort coronavirus vaccines in abundance what then
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-021-2895-4
work_keys_str_mv AT dietercassel coronavirusvaccinesinabundancewhatthen
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