Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research

Ground water contamination with Arsenic (As) is one of the foremost issues in the South Asian countries where ground water is one of the foremost sources of drinking water. In Asian countries, especially people of Pakistan living in rural areas are devouring ground water for drinking purpose, and cl...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sobia Iftikhar, Sania Bhatti, Zulfiqar Ali Bhatti, Mohsin Ali Memon, Faisal Memon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sir Syed University of Engineering and Technology, Karachi. 2020-11-01
Series:Sir Syed University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
Online Access:http://www.sirsyeduniversity.edu.pk/ssurj/rj/index.php/ssurj/article/view/232
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849430316785074176
author Sobia Iftikhar
Sania Bhatti
Zulfiqar Ali Bhatti
Mohsin Ali Memon
Faisal Memon
author_facet Sobia Iftikhar
Sania Bhatti
Zulfiqar Ali Bhatti
Mohsin Ali Memon
Faisal Memon
author_sort Sobia Iftikhar
collection DOAJ
description Ground water contamination with Arsenic (As) is one of the foremost issues in the South Asian countries where ground water is one of the foremost sources of drinking water. In Asian countries, especially people of Pakistan living in rural areas are devouring ground water for drinking purpose, and cleaned water is not accessible to them. This arsenic contaminated water is hazardous for human health. The persistence of this study is to study the increasing level of arsenic in ground water in coming years for Khairpur, Sindh Pakistan, which is also increasing the cancer rate (skin cancer, blood cancer) gradually in human body. To predict the arsenic value and cancer risk for the next five years, we have developed two models via Microsoft Azure machine learning with algorithms include Support Vector Machine (SVM), Linear Regression (LR), Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR), Boosted Decision tree (BDT), exponential smoothing ETS, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). The developed predictive model named as Arsenic Contamination and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction Model (ACCRAP model) will help us to forecast the arsenic contamination levels and the cancer rate. The results demonstrated that BLR pose highest prediction accuracy of cancer rate among the four deployed machine learning algorithms.
format Article
id doaj-art-21a59fcb4cbd4b85b18d5bb0e8f682ed
institution Kabale University
issn 1997-0641
2415-2048
language English
publishDate 2020-11-01
publisher Sir Syed University of Engineering and Technology, Karachi.
record_format Article
series Sir Syed University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
spelling doaj-art-21a59fcb4cbd4b85b18d5bb0e8f682ed2025-08-20T03:28:02ZengSir Syed University of Engineering and Technology, Karachi.Sir Syed University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology1997-06412415-20482020-11-01102Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic ResearchSobia Iftikhar0Sania Bhatti1Zulfiqar Ali Bhatti2Mohsin Ali Memon3Faisal Memon4Department of software engineering, Mehran University of engineering & TechnologyMehran University of engineering & TechnologyDepartment of chemical Engineering Mehran University of Engineering and technologyDepartment of software Engineering Mehran University of Engineering and technology, JamshoroHead Of ICT Operations Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Limited KarachiGround water contamination with Arsenic (As) is one of the foremost issues in the South Asian countries where ground water is one of the foremost sources of drinking water. In Asian countries, especially people of Pakistan living in rural areas are devouring ground water for drinking purpose, and cleaned water is not accessible to them. This arsenic contaminated water is hazardous for human health. The persistence of this study is to study the increasing level of arsenic in ground water in coming years for Khairpur, Sindh Pakistan, which is also increasing the cancer rate (skin cancer, blood cancer) gradually in human body. To predict the arsenic value and cancer risk for the next five years, we have developed two models via Microsoft Azure machine learning with algorithms include Support Vector Machine (SVM), Linear Regression (LR), Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR), Boosted Decision tree (BDT), exponential smoothing ETS, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). The developed predictive model named as Arsenic Contamination and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction Model (ACCRAP model) will help us to forecast the arsenic contamination levels and the cancer rate. The results demonstrated that BLR pose highest prediction accuracy of cancer rate among the four deployed machine learning algorithms. http://www.sirsyeduniversity.edu.pk/ssurj/rj/index.php/ssurj/article/view/232
spellingShingle Sobia Iftikhar
Sania Bhatti
Zulfiqar Ali Bhatti
Mohsin Ali Memon
Faisal Memon
Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
Sir Syed University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
title Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
title_full Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
title_fullStr Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
title_full_unstemmed Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
title_short Groundwater Arsenic and Cancer Risk Assessment Prediction model via Machine Learning: A Step Towards Modernizing Academic Research
title_sort groundwater arsenic and cancer risk assessment prediction model via machine learning a step towards modernizing academic research
url http://www.sirsyeduniversity.edu.pk/ssurj/rj/index.php/ssurj/article/view/232
work_keys_str_mv AT sobiaiftikhar groundwaterarsenicandcancerriskassessmentpredictionmodelviamachinelearningasteptowardsmodernizingacademicresearch
AT saniabhatti groundwaterarsenicandcancerriskassessmentpredictionmodelviamachinelearningasteptowardsmodernizingacademicresearch
AT zulfiqaralibhatti groundwaterarsenicandcancerriskassessmentpredictionmodelviamachinelearningasteptowardsmodernizingacademicresearch
AT mohsinalimemon groundwaterarsenicandcancerriskassessmentpredictionmodelviamachinelearningasteptowardsmodernizingacademicresearch
AT faisalmemon groundwaterarsenicandcancerriskassessmentpredictionmodelviamachinelearningasteptowardsmodernizingacademicresearch