Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality

We use a periodically forced SIS epidemic model with disease inducedmortality to study the combined effects of seasonal trends and death on theextinction and persistence of discretely reproducing populations. Weintroduce the epidemic threshold parameter, $R_0$, forpredicting disease dynamics in peri...

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Main Authors: John E. Franke, Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2011-03-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2011.8.385
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author John E. Franke
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
author_facet John E. Franke
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
author_sort John E. Franke
collection DOAJ
description We use a periodically forced SIS epidemic model with disease inducedmortality to study the combined effects of seasonal trends and death on theextinction and persistence of discretely reproducing populations. Weintroduce the epidemic threshold parameter, $R_0$, forpredicting disease dynamics in periodic environments. Typically, $R_01$ to extinction.Furthermore, we obtain conditions for the persistence of the totalpopulation. In addition, we use the Beverton-Holt recruitment function toshow that the infective population exhibits period-doubling bifurcationsroute to chaos where the disease-free susceptible population lives on a2-cycle (non-chaotic) attractor.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2011-03-01
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spelling doaj-art-20fff636c69d4353915205171632e7912025-01-24T02:01:39ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182011-03-018238540810.3934/mbe.2011.8.385Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortalityJohn E. Franke0Abdul-Aziz Yakubu1Department of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8205Department of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8205We use a periodically forced SIS epidemic model with disease inducedmortality to study the combined effects of seasonal trends and death on theextinction and persistence of discretely reproducing populations. Weintroduce the epidemic threshold parameter, $R_0$, forpredicting disease dynamics in periodic environments. Typically, $R_01$ to extinction.Furthermore, we obtain conditions for the persistence of the totalpopulation. In addition, we use the Beverton-Holt recruitment function toshow that the infective population exhibits period-doubling bifurcationsroute to chaos where the disease-free susceptible population lives on a2-cycle (non-chaotic) attractor.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2011.8.385epidemicsinfectivesperiodic environmentssusceptibles.
spellingShingle John E. Franke
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
epidemics
infectives
periodic environments
susceptibles.
title Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
title_full Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
title_fullStr Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
title_full_unstemmed Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
title_short Periodically forced discrete-time SIS epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
title_sort periodically forced discrete time sis epidemic model with diseaseinduced mortality
topic epidemics
infectives
periodic environments
susceptibles.
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2011.8.385
work_keys_str_mv AT johnefranke periodicallyforceddiscretetimesisepidemicmodelwithdiseaseinducedmortality
AT abdulazizyakubu periodicallyforceddiscretetimesisepidemicmodelwithdiseaseinducedmortality