Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin

Urban flooding poses escalating threats to socioeconomic stability and human safety, exacerbated by urbanization and climate change. While urban flood resilience (UFR) has emerged as a critical framework for flood risk management, existing studies often overlook the systemic integration of post-disa...

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Main Authors: Kaidong Lu, Yong Liu, Yintang Wang, Tingting Cui, Jiaxing Zhong, Zijiang Zhou, Xiaoping Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1328
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author Kaidong Lu
Yong Liu
Yintang Wang
Tingting Cui
Jiaxing Zhong
Zijiang Zhou
Xiaoping Gao
author_facet Kaidong Lu
Yong Liu
Yintang Wang
Tingting Cui
Jiaxing Zhong
Zijiang Zhou
Xiaoping Gao
author_sort Kaidong Lu
collection DOAJ
description Urban flooding poses escalating threats to socioeconomic stability and human safety, exacerbated by urbanization and climate change. While urban flood resilience (UFR) has emerged as a critical framework for flood risk management, existing studies often overlook the systemic integration of post-disaster recovery capacity and multidimensional interactions in UFR assessment. This study develops a novel hazard–vulnerability–exposure–defense capacity–recovery capacity (HVEDR) framework to address research gaps. We employ a hybrid game theory combined weight method (GTCWM)-TOPSIS approach to evaluate UFR in China’s Taihu Lake Basin (TLB), a region highly vulnerable to monsoon- and typhoon-driven floods. Spanning 1999–2020, the analysis reveals three key insights: (1) weight allocation via GTCWM identifies defense capacity (0.224) and hazard (0.224) as dominant dimensions, with drainage pipeline density (0.091), flood-season precipitation (0.087), and medical capacity (0.085) ranking as the top three weighted indicators; (2) temporal trends show an overall upward trajectory in UFR, interrupted by a sharp decline in 2011 due to extreme hazard events, with Shanghai and Hangzhou exhibiting the highest UFR levels, contrasting Zhenjiang’s persistently low UFR; (3) spatial patterns reveal stronger UFR in southern and eastern areas and weaker resilience in northern and western regions. The proposed HVEDR framework and findings provide valuable insights for UFR assessments in other flood-prone basins and regions globally.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2073-445X
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publishDate 2025-06-01
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spelling doaj-art-1f59b38883a747e18599d05ccfaefdf02025-08-20T03:35:28ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2025-06-01147132810.3390/land14071328Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake BasinKaidong Lu0Yong Liu1Yintang Wang2Tingting Cui3Jiaxing Zhong4Zijiang Zhou5Xiaoping Gao6The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaThe National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, ChinaHydrological Bureau (Information Center), Huaihe River Water Resources Commission, Bengbu 233001, ChinaJiangsu Province Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau (Suzhou Branch), Suzhou 215006, ChinaJiangsu Province Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau (Suzhou Branch), Suzhou 215006, ChinaUrban flooding poses escalating threats to socioeconomic stability and human safety, exacerbated by urbanization and climate change. While urban flood resilience (UFR) has emerged as a critical framework for flood risk management, existing studies often overlook the systemic integration of post-disaster recovery capacity and multidimensional interactions in UFR assessment. This study develops a novel hazard–vulnerability–exposure–defense capacity–recovery capacity (HVEDR) framework to address research gaps. We employ a hybrid game theory combined weight method (GTCWM)-TOPSIS approach to evaluate UFR in China’s Taihu Lake Basin (TLB), a region highly vulnerable to monsoon- and typhoon-driven floods. Spanning 1999–2020, the analysis reveals three key insights: (1) weight allocation via GTCWM identifies defense capacity (0.224) and hazard (0.224) as dominant dimensions, with drainage pipeline density (0.091), flood-season precipitation (0.087), and medical capacity (0.085) ranking as the top three weighted indicators; (2) temporal trends show an overall upward trajectory in UFR, interrupted by a sharp decline in 2011 due to extreme hazard events, with Shanghai and Hangzhou exhibiting the highest UFR levels, contrasting Zhenjiang’s persistently low UFR; (3) spatial patterns reveal stronger UFR in southern and eastern areas and weaker resilience in northern and western regions. The proposed HVEDR framework and findings provide valuable insights for UFR assessments in other flood-prone basins and regions globally.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1328urban flood resilienceTaihu Lake Basinevaluation index systemGTCWM-TOPSIS
spellingShingle Kaidong Lu
Yong Liu
Yintang Wang
Tingting Cui
Jiaxing Zhong
Zijiang Zhou
Xiaoping Gao
Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
Land
urban flood resilience
Taihu Lake Basin
evaluation index system
GTCWM-TOPSIS
title Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
title_full Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
title_fullStr Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
title_short Assessment of Urban Flood Resilience Under a Novel Framework and Method: A Case Study of the Taihu Lake Basin
title_sort assessment of urban flood resilience under a novel framework and method a case study of the taihu lake basin
topic urban flood resilience
Taihu Lake Basin
evaluation index system
GTCWM-TOPSIS
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1328
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