Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation

Abstract Long-term, high-resolution records of lake surface area are essential for characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics of inland water bodies. Although Synthetic Aperture Radar has substantially improved water extent detection under adverse conditions, optical remote sensing imagery remains t...

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Main Author: Chen Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-09410-3
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author Chen Liu
author_facet Chen Liu
author_sort Chen Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Long-term, high-resolution records of lake surface area are essential for characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics of inland water bodies. Although Synthetic Aperture Radar has substantially improved water extent detection under adverse conditions, optical remote sensing imagery remains the dominant data source owing to its higher spatial resolution. Nevertheless, optical data are frequently compromised by persistent cloud cover and sensor limitations, leading to substantial observational gaps. To effectively address this challenge, this study introduces a novel spatially-informed interpolation method termed Semantic Neighborhood Correlation-based Interpolation (SNCI), which leverages spatial correlations among hydrologically interconnected lakes to reconstruct missing lake area observations. By explicitly modeling the inherent hydrological and climatic coherence among neighboring lakes, SNCI provides robust, accurate, and scalable interpolations even in the presence of extensive temporal data losses. The method was evaluated on monthly lake area data from 54 lakes in the Wuhan region between 2000 and 2020, using the Global Surface Water dataset, and validated against high-resolution Dynamic World observations. Several representative lakes were analyzed in detail to assess SNCI’s robustness across diverse seasonal and interannual conditions. Compared with polynomial fitting, Random Forest, and Long Short-Term Memory, SNCI consistently achieves lower interpolation errors. In the case of East Lake, SNCI reduces mean absolute error by 50.1% and root mean square error by 28.3% relative to the best-performing baseline. Across all lakes, SNCI demonstrates superior accuracy and correlation, particularly under data-sparse conditions. These results underscore SNCI’s potential to enhance lake area reconstruction accuracy and support broader applications in hydrological modeling, environmental monitoring, and climate impact assessment.
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spelling doaj-art-1ec485131cfe4e17be7bfb6fc8a41fd22025-08-20T03:45:53ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111810.1038/s41598-025-09410-3Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlationChen Liu0School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityAbstract Long-term, high-resolution records of lake surface area are essential for characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics of inland water bodies. Although Synthetic Aperture Radar has substantially improved water extent detection under adverse conditions, optical remote sensing imagery remains the dominant data source owing to its higher spatial resolution. Nevertheless, optical data are frequently compromised by persistent cloud cover and sensor limitations, leading to substantial observational gaps. To effectively address this challenge, this study introduces a novel spatially-informed interpolation method termed Semantic Neighborhood Correlation-based Interpolation (SNCI), which leverages spatial correlations among hydrologically interconnected lakes to reconstruct missing lake area observations. By explicitly modeling the inherent hydrological and climatic coherence among neighboring lakes, SNCI provides robust, accurate, and scalable interpolations even in the presence of extensive temporal data losses. The method was evaluated on monthly lake area data from 54 lakes in the Wuhan region between 2000 and 2020, using the Global Surface Water dataset, and validated against high-resolution Dynamic World observations. Several representative lakes were analyzed in detail to assess SNCI’s robustness across diverse seasonal and interannual conditions. Compared with polynomial fitting, Random Forest, and Long Short-Term Memory, SNCI consistently achieves lower interpolation errors. In the case of East Lake, SNCI reduces mean absolute error by 50.1% and root mean square error by 28.3% relative to the best-performing baseline. Across all lakes, SNCI demonstrates superior accuracy and correlation, particularly under data-sparse conditions. These results underscore SNCI’s potential to enhance lake area reconstruction accuracy and support broader applications in hydrological modeling, environmental monitoring, and climate impact assessment.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-09410-3Lake area interpolationRemote sensingSpatiotemporal analysisHydrological monitoring
spellingShingle Chen Liu
Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
Scientific Reports
Lake area interpolation
Remote sensing
Spatiotemporal analysis
Hydrological monitoring
title Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
title_full Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
title_fullStr Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
title_full_unstemmed Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
title_short Spatially-informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
title_sort spatially informed interpolation for reconstructing lake area time series using semantic neighborhood correlation
topic Lake area interpolation
Remote sensing
Spatiotemporal analysis
Hydrological monitoring
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-09410-3
work_keys_str_mv AT chenliu spatiallyinformedinterpolationforreconstructinglakeareatimeseriesusingsemanticneighborhoodcorrelation