REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA

This study aims to analyze the Keynes’ investment and saving model in Indonesia from 1981 to 2018. The researchers use the econometric test from the Granger causality test to find the short-run causal relationship and the Vector Error Correction Model to reveal both the short-run and long-run effec...

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Main Authors: Cheng-Wen Lee, Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta, Ramdani Putri Setyaningrum, Gatot Sasongko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, University of Tuzla 2020-11-01
Series:Economic Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/69
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author Cheng-Wen Lee
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Ramdani Putri Setyaningrum
Gatot Sasongko
author_facet Cheng-Wen Lee
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Ramdani Putri Setyaningrum
Gatot Sasongko
author_sort Cheng-Wen Lee
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to analyze the Keynes’ investment and saving model in Indonesia from 1981 to 2018. The researchers use the econometric test from the Granger causality test to find the short-run causal relationship and the Vector Error Correction Model to reveal both the short-run and long-run effects in the model. The result of Granger causality test demonstrates that there is no short-run causal relationship between these two variables. In the short-run, the increase in saving affects the consumption loans more compared to the investment loans. Besides, increased consumption compared to saving has more influence in raising investment. However, the Vector Error Correction Model proves that saving negatively affects investment in the long-run. This model empirically supports the long-run Keynes’ investment and saving model. Consequently, the Indonesian government needs to consider saving as a policy instrument to increase investment in the long-run.
format Article
id doaj-art-1e6d4a49c7aa45c7869c78981b4ceae9
institution Kabale University
issn 1512-8962
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language English
publishDate 2020-11-01
publisher Faculty of Economics, University of Tuzla
record_format Article
series Economic Review
spelling doaj-art-1e6d4a49c7aa45c7869c78981b4ceae92025-02-10T00:30:53ZengFaculty of Economics, University of TuzlaEconomic Review1512-89622303-680X2020-11-01182REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIACheng-Wen Lee0Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta1Ramdani Putri Setyaningrum2Gatot Sasongko3Department of International Business, Chung Yuan Christian University, TaiwanPhD Program in Business, Chung Yuan Christian University, Taiwan & Faculty of Economics and Business, Satya Wacana Christian University, Indonesia,Faculty of Economics and Business, Satya Wacana Christian University, IndonesiaFaculty of Economics and Business, Satya Wacana Christian University, Indonesia This study aims to analyze the Keynes’ investment and saving model in Indonesia from 1981 to 2018. The researchers use the econometric test from the Granger causality test to find the short-run causal relationship and the Vector Error Correction Model to reveal both the short-run and long-run effects in the model. The result of Granger causality test demonstrates that there is no short-run causal relationship between these two variables. In the short-run, the increase in saving affects the consumption loans more compared to the investment loans. Besides, increased consumption compared to saving has more influence in raising investment. However, the Vector Error Correction Model proves that saving negatively affects investment in the long-run. This model empirically supports the long-run Keynes’ investment and saving model. Consequently, the Indonesian government needs to consider saving as a policy instrument to increase investment in the long-run. http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/69investmentsavingvector error correction modelGranger causality
spellingShingle Cheng-Wen Lee
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Ramdani Putri Setyaningrum
Gatot Sasongko
REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
Economic Review
investment
saving
vector error correction model
Granger causality
title REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
title_full REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
title_fullStr REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
title_full_unstemmed REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
title_short REVISITING KEYNES’ INVESTMENT AND SAVING MODEL IN INDONESIA
title_sort revisiting keynes investment and saving model in indonesia
topic investment
saving
vector error correction model
Granger causality
url http://er.ef.untz.ba/index.php/er/article/view/69
work_keys_str_mv AT chengwenlee revisitingkeynesinvestmentandsavingmodelinindonesia
AT andriandolfriandrahuruta revisitingkeynesinvestmentandsavingmodelinindonesia
AT ramdaniputrisetyaningrum revisitingkeynesinvestmentandsavingmodelinindonesia
AT gatotsasongko revisitingkeynesinvestmentandsavingmodelinindonesia